Big Play Weekend Plus 250 Units!
50-Unit NBA play in game five a winner with the Spurs (+1) 114-104 over Miami!
100 Unit Baseball scores Saturday as Dodgers beat Pirates 5-3, and Sunday as Tigers defeat Twins 5-2.
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951 MARLINS
952 DIAMONDBACKS
6/19/2013 3:40 PM(et)
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+180
-180
8p
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953 PADRES
954 GIANTS
6/19/2013 3:45 PM(et)
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+140
-140
7u
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955 NATIONALS
956 PHILLIES
6/19/2013 7:05 PM(et)
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+110
-110
7½o
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957 METS
958 BRAVES
6/19/2013 7:10 PM(et)
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+185
-185
7½u
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959 PIRATES
960 REDS
6/19/2013 7:10 PM(et)
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+140
-140
8o
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961 CUBS
962 CARDINALS
6/19/2013 8:15 PM(et)
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+175
-175
8o
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963 ORIOLES
964 TIGERS
6/19/2013 1:08 PM(et)
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+150
-150
9p
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965 ROYALS
966 INDIANS
6/19/2013 7:05 PM(et)
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+155
-155
8p
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967 RAYS
968 REDSOX
6/19/2013 7:10 PM(et)
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+150
-150
9½p
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969 ATHLETICS
970 RANGERS
6/19/2013 8:05 PM(et)
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+115
-115
9½o
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971 WHITESOX
972 TWINS
6/19/2013 8:10 PM(et)
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-140
+140
7½u
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973 MARINERS
974 ANGELS
6/19/2013 10:05 PM(et)
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+210
-210
8p
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975 DODGERS
976 YANKEES
6/19/2013 7:05 PM(et)
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off
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977 ROCKIES
978 BLUEJAYS
6/19/2013 7:07 PM(et)
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+150
-150
9p
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979 BREWERS
980 ASTROS
6/19/2013 8:10 PM(et)
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-135
+135
8½u
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981 DODGERS
982 YANKEES
6/19/2013 1:05 PM(et)
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off
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451 RAVENS
452 BRONCOS
9/5/2013 8:30 PM(et)
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+7
-7
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+9½
-9½
49½
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453 PATRIOTS
454 BILLS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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-5½
+5½
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-7½
+7½
53
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455 TITANS
456 STEELERS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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+6
-6
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+7
-7
43½
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457 FALCONS
458 SAINTS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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+1½
-1½
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+2½
-2½
54
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459 BUCCANEERS
460 JETS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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+1½
-1½
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-1
+1
41
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461 CHIEFS
462 JAGUARS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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-
pick
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-1½
+1½
39
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463 BENGALS
464 BEARS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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+3½
-3½
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+3
-3
45
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465 DOLPHINS
466 BROWNS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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-2
+2
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+1
-1
39½
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467 SEAHAWKS
468 PANTHERS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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-4
+4
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-3
+3
45
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469 VIKINGS
470 LIONS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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+2½
-2½
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+3
-3
47
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471 RAIDERS
472 COLTS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
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+8
-8
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+7
-7
48½
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473 CARDINALS
474 RAMS
9/8/2013 4:25 PM(et)
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+5½
-5½
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+7
-7
40
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475 PACKERS
476 49ERS
9/8/2013 4:25 PM(et)
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+4
-4
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+5½
-5½
50
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477 GIANTS
478 COWBOYS
9/8/2013 8:30 PM(et)
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+2½
-2½
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+3
-3
49
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479 EAGLES
480 REDSKINS
9/9/2013 7:10 PM(et)
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+5½
-5½
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+4½
-4½
50½
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481 TEXANS
482 CHARGERS
9/9/2013 10:20 PM(et)
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-2½
+2½
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-3
+3
46
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The underdogs had a field day not only covering a huge chunk of games, but also banging home 17 upset victories. The previous week saw this trend tilt slightly in favor of the "dogs," as 12 teams getting points combined for outright wins. Those numbers were much greater than weeks two and three, which produced just 16 outright victories combined.
Not only were there "lightweight" outright wins in week five, such as Connecticut's 26-21 victory over Louisville as the 3.5-point underdog, or Stanford's road score at Washington while getting a field goal, there were an amazing nine games won by a dog of a touchdown or more.
In addition, teams receiving double-digits won six of those nine contests, and four of those clubs (Oregon State, Ole Miss, Navy and Florida International) were getting 16 points or more. To put that in perspective, only one of the 12 upsets the previous week came at the expense of a 10-point favorite (Boise State over Oregon).
Speaking of week four, favorites went just 24-20-1 in the 45 games. Going back a week earlier, the underdogs had the edge, but barely at 21-19-4. Last week, the dogs barked big-time, covering 31 of the 48 games played for an outrageous winning percentage of 65%.
Breaking down those numbers even further, we find that conference matchups were a huge reason why favorites had a hard time winning against the spread. Underdogs covered 20 of the 25 league contests for an unbelievable 80% winning percentage.
Does this mean one should always wager on the underdog in conference tilts? Not necessarily. The first four weeks of the season produced a winning 19-15-2 record in favor of the team getting points, which, while solid, is not an amazingly high percentage.
THE NEW TOP 10 AND LAST WEEKS RESULTS
With the rash of upsets comes a new top two, as Florida and USC fall behind two Big 12 powerhouses in the Jeff Frank Top 10. Here are the new rankings:
1) Texas, 103.5; 2) Oklahoma, 103; 3) Florida, 102.5; 4) USC, 102; 5) Georgia, 99.5; 6) Missouri, 99; 7) Penn State, 98.5; 8) Alabama, 98; 9) Texas Tech, 96.5; 10) Oregon, 95.5
The overall record stands at 22-15, with a 10-6 mark in key plays (Last week 2-0, W - Ole Miss and Western Michigan) and a 12-9 record in secondary selections (Last week 3-1, W - Rice, Texas and UAB, L - Miami-Florida).
THIS WEEK'S TOP PLAY
Staying with the conference underdog trend, there are a few opportunities to cash in this Saturday with the premier play being Duke plus the points at Georgia Tech.
The Blue Devils have already won three of their first four games. To put that in the proper context, they had been on the right side of the scoreboard just three times in their previous 41 contests.
I realize they have yet to play a road game this season, but if past history is any indication, the Blue Devils will thrive in this spot. They are 23-10 ATS as an away underdog the last six years, with an 8-4 mark the last two. Thankfully this game is not being played in Durham, as Duke is just 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.
History aside, the mentality of this football team is miles ahead of past Duke clubs. The Blue Devils, who won their first conference game (31-3 over Virginia last week) since upsetting Clemson in 2004, are 1-0 in league play for the first time since 1994. Coincidentally, that was the last time they went to a bowl game. New head coach David Cutcliffe has the Blue Devils believing in themselves, and no hole is too great to escape from.
Even though Georgia Tech has gotten off to a great start winning three of its first four games, Duke has an advantage that none of the Yellow Jackets' previous opponents had.
Cutcliffe's crew matched up against Paul Johnson's former team, Navy, just three weeks ago, walking away with a 41-31 victory. The Blue Devils held the Midshipmen to just 13 first downs in that game, and anytime a club can get a handle on the triple-option attack it helps them immensely the next time around. Georgia Tech obviously has more talented players than Navy, but don't discount the fact that Duke has gone up against a Johnson-coached team each of the last four years.
The Yellow Jackets defense has been outstanding in the early going, allowing just two touchdowns per game. However, when looking at the competition, it's very easy to see why.
Jacksonville State was the opening week opponent, followed by a Boston College team breaking in a new quarterback and running back. Virginia Tech came next, and the Hokies sent the Yellow Jackets back to Atlanta with their first loss. It was also Tyrod Taylor's first start at QB this season. Mississippi State was Georgia Tech's last challenger, and we all know about the Bulldogs' offensive struggles.
The 13-point line is way off base, as the Yellow Jackets should be about a five-point favorite. Don't be shocked if Duke pulls the upset.
Take the Blue Devils plus the points.
Last year Colorado played the role of spoiler, knocking off third-ranked Oklahoma the week prior to the Red River Shootout. This season, the Buffaloes host Texas seven days before the Longhorns travel to Dallas to take on the Sooners.
Can lightning strike twice? Dan Hawkins' club has already beaten a quality opponent in Boulder this year when the Buffaloes defeated West Virginia, 17-14. In addition, there is a little thing called "payback" waiting in the back of this team's collective mind, as Texas demolished Colorado, 70-3 the last time they met.
The Longhorns were supposed to have a bye week prior to this game, but that got washed away when their matchup with Arkansas scheduled for September 13 was cancelled. Preparation time for a team they have not faced in over two years has now been cut short, and going on the road also presents a problem.
Texas is 5-2 in conference road games since 2006, but if the Iowa State and Baylor games are removed, that number falls to 3-2. More importantly, the 'Horns are 0-4-1 ATS in those five contests against quality Big 12 opponents.
Take Colorado plus the points.
It surely looks like another big week for the underdogs, but do not bet blindly on every single team getting the points. There will be many favorites covering games this Saturday, and one in particular is Southern Miss.
The Golden Eagles are 2-2 this year winning the games they're supposed to and losing to two teams (Auburn and Marshall) that are simply better than them. The bye week has definitely come at a great time, after Southern Miss failed to beat the Thundering Herd at home on September 20.
UTEP comes to Hattiesburg off an impressive 58-13 win over UCF, but a further look into the game sees a different story. The Knights started their backup quarterback, true freshman Rob Calabrese. The youngster completed just 13 of 31 with two interceptions. UCF also fumbled the ball six times, losing four of them.
The Miners have only played one road game this year, a 25-point loss at Buffalo, and are now 1-7 in their last eight away from home. Their pass defense has been atrocious, giving up 248 yards per game and 14 touchdowns in just four contests. This one could be over by halftime.
Take Southern Miss minus the points.
This week's secondary plays include Arizona State, Iowa State, Connecticut and Baylor.
10/3/2008 2:35:57 PM