|
509 SPURS
510 GRIZZLIES
5/25/2013 9:00 PM(et)
|
+4½
-4½
178
|
+5½
-5½
177½
|
+5
-5
178½
|
+5
-5
178½
|
|
|
|
901 ROCKIES
902 GIANTS
5/25/2013 4:05 PM(et)
|
+130
-130
8½p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
903 CUBS
904 REDS
5/25/2013 4:10 PM(et)
|
+150
-150
7½p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
905 PIRATES
906 BREWERS
5/25/2013 4:10 PM(et)
|
+120
-120
8½o
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
907 PHILLIES
908 NATIONALS
5/25/2013 7:15 PM(et)
|
+150
-150
8p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
909 CARDINALS
910 DODGERS
5/25/2013 7:15 PM(et)
|
+110
-110
7½u
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
911 BRAVES
912 METS
5/25/2013 7:15 PM(et)
|
-160
+160
7½p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
913 PADRES
914 DIAMONDBACKS
5/25/2013 10:10 PM(et)
|
+130
-130
8½u
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
915 ORIOLES
916 BLUEJAYS
5/25/2013 1:07 PM(et)
|
+150
-150
9p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
917 INDIANS
918 REDSOX
5/25/2013 1:35 PM(et)
|
+200
-200
9½u
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
919 ANGELS
920 ROYALS
5/25/2013 2:10 PM(et)
|
off
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
921 TWINS
922 TIGERS
5/25/2013 4:08 PM(et)
|
off
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
923 YANKEES
924 RAYS
5/25/2013 4:10 PM(et)
|
+160
-160
8u
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
925 ATHLETICS
926 ASTROS
5/25/2013 7:15 PM(et)
|
-170
+170
8½p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
927 RANGERS
928 MARINERS
5/25/2013 10:10 PM(et)
|
+125
-125
6½o
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
929 MARLINS
930 WHITESOX
5/25/2013 7:15 PM(et)
|
+200
-200
7o
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
451 RAVENS
452 BRONCOS
9/5/2013 8:30 PM(et)
|
+7
-7
|
+9½
-9½
49½
|
|
|
|
|
|
453 PATRIOTS
454 BILLS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
-5½
+5½
|
-7½
+7½
52½
|
|
|
|
|
|
455 TITANS
456 STEELERS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
+6
-6
|
+7
-7
43½
|
|
|
|
|
|
457 FALCONS
458 SAINTS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
+1½
-1½
|
+1½
-1½
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
459 BUCCANEERS
460 JETS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
+1½
-1½
|
-1
+1
41
|
|
|
|
|
|
461 CHIEFS
462 JAGUARS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
-
pick
|
-1½
+1½
39½
|
|
|
|
|
|
463 BENGALS
464 BEARS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
+3½
-3½
|
+3½
-3½
45
|
|
|
|
|
|
465 DOLPHINS
466 BROWNS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
-2
+2
|
-
pick
39½
|
|
|
|
|
|
467 SEAHAWKS
468 PANTHERS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
-4
+4
|
-3½
+3½
45
|
|
|
|
|
|
469 VIKINGS
470 LIONS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
+2½
-2½
|
+3
-3
47
|
|
|
|
|
|
471 RAIDERS
472 COLTS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
|
+8
-8
|
+7½
-7½
48½
|
|
|
|
|
|
473 CARDINALS
474 RAMS
9/8/2013 4:25 PM(et)
|
+5½
-5½
|
+5½
-5½
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
475 PACKERS
476 49ERS
9/8/2013 4:25 PM(et)
|
+4
-4
|
+5
-5
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
477 GIANTS
478 COWBOYS
9/8/2013 8:30 PM(et)
|
+2½
-2½
|
+3
-3
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
479 EAGLES
480 REDSKINS
9/9/2013 7:10 PM(et)
|
+5½
-5½
|
+5
-5
50½
|
|
|
|
|
|
481 TEXANS
482 CHARGERS
9/9/2013 10:20 PM(et)
|
-2½
+2½
|
-3
+3
46
|
|
|
|
|
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Over the last seven seasons, ACC "dogs" have come out on top at a 60-percent clip, including a 28-19-1 record in the 48 conference battles last year.
One team that has been a solid contributor to the barrage of winning underdogs is Miami. Since 2005, the Hurricanes are 7-25 ATS when favored against the other 11 ACC clubs. Furthermore, they have lost 15 of those 25 games outright, as well as one earlier this season versus arch-rival Florida State.
The first of my two Three-Star plays this week comes from Sun Life Stadium, where Randy Shannon and his Miami Hurricanes host Butch Davis and the North Carolina. Incidentally, Davis has never lost to his former team with three straight victories.
In his first meeting against the 'Canes back in 2007, the Tar Heels were seven-point underdogs after losing four straight contests. Still, they walked off with a six-point win after leading 27-0 at halftime.
The following season, North Carolina went into Miami without quarterback T.J. Yates, who was injured the week before against Virginia Tech. Once again, the Tar Heels prevailed, this time by four points as 7.5-point road dogs.
Last year was more of the same as UNC benefited from a plus-four in the turnover battle to win 33-24 as a three-point underdog.
Turnovers also should play a part in this year's meeting as Miami quarterback Jacory Harris has already thrown nine interceptions in five games against Football Bowl Subdivision opponents. Moreover, he's completed fewer than 50 percent of his tosses in those contests, stumbling mightily of late with just 49 completions in his last 115 passes.
On the other side, Yates and the North Carolina aerial attack has been much improved this season as the Tar Heels are 35th nationally through the air, averaging 252 yards per game - a 77-yard increase over last year. More importantly, Yates has thrown just one pick in 2010 compared to 15 a season ago.
North Carolina comes into the game on a four-game winning streak, led mostly by its defense, which has allowed an average of 14 points per game over that span. Furthermore, the Tar Heels' two losses have both come by less than a touchdown.
With the line currently sitting at Miami minus 6.5 points, this looks like a perfect spot for another upset.
Take North Carolina plus the points.
There's one other ACC underdog to keep in mind on Saturday as Georgia Tech should provide another opportunity for success.
The Yellow Jackets have met Clemson three times since Paul Johnson took over as head coach and they have come out on top on each occasion. Suffice to say, the Tigers have had little success against the triple-option attack, allowing over 800 rushing yards in the three matchups.
The Jackets are currently second nationally in rushing, so the loss of Jonathan Dwyer has not really affected them as much as some would have expected. In addition, the defense, especially against the run, has been much improved. Last season, they allowed 4.9 yards per carry. This year, the number has dropped almost a full yard down to 4.1.
Clemson does not have C.J. Spiller to run for over 200 yards with four touchdowns as he did in last year's ACC Championship game. Furthermore, the Tigers are nowhere near the team they were in '09.
They snapped a three-game losing streak last week by knocking off Maryland, but their 31-7 victory wasn't as dominating as the score would suggest. They scored only two offensive touchdowns, compiling just 213 total yards in the process. Quarterback Kyle Parker was 7 of 20 for 106 yards, and he has been wildly inconsistent in last three games, completing just 46 percent of his passes with a 1:3 touchdown/interception ratio.
At 1-2 in league play and three road games still to go, it's extremely doubtful the Tigers will have any chance of catching Florida State in the Atlantic Division. Conversely, a win would keep Georgia Tech just a half game behind Virginia Tech in the Coastal Division, assuming the Hokies defeat Duke.
Clemson is favored by five points, which seems a tad high considering how both squads are currently playing. Once again, run with the ACC dog to cover and quite possibly pull out the outright victory.
Take Georgia Tech plus the points.
TWO-STAR SELECTIONS
Go with Oklahoma State (versus Nebraska), Iowa (hosting Wisconsin), West Virginia (versus Syracuse), Northern Illinois (against Central Michigan) and Hawaii (at Utah State).
ONE-STAR CHOICES
Take Louisiana (hosting Western Kentucky) and Buffalo (plus the points against Temple).
AFTER SEVEN WEEKS
Yours truly went 11-2 last week for a seven-week 49-32-2 total, good for a 60 percent winning percentage. Breaking the totals down by the star system, the Five-Star plays are 2-3, the Three-Star selections are 14-5-1, the Two-Star picks are 21-14-1, and the One-Star choices are 11-10.
As a reminder, the Five-Star plays are those games in which my key selections and my "Power Numbers" match. The Three-Star choices are my personal picks, while the Two-Star plays are the "power number" picks - games with at least a five-point differential between my line and the actual line. Finally, the One- Star plays are my personal secondary selections.
THIS WEEK'S JEFF FRANK "DIRTY DOZEN ...
1) Boise State, 107.5; 2-T) Oregon and Alabama, 103; 4) TCU, 102; 5-T) Oklahoma and Iowa, 101.5; 7) Nebraska, 100; 8) Ohio State, 99.5; 9) Utah, 99; 10) Missouri, 98; 11-T) LSU, Auburn, and Texas, 97.5
10/22/2010 2:06:16 PM