Sunday Night Showdown
NFL WEEK 4 - CHIEFS-STEELERS IN THE SUNDAY NITE SPOTLIGHT
Here's a little something that may surprise you ...
There are 13 NFL teams averaging 25 points per game or more thus far in this still-young 2016 campaign and just to make a little connection here through the first three weeks of play the "overs" are 27-21-0 ATS (against the spread) for a nifty .563 winning rate.
Heck, the "over" bettors have gone 9-7 ATS back-to-back-to-back weeks thus far, don't remember that ever happening before.
So, is scoring gonna continue to rise in the pass-crazy league where - if you ask us - there's really only a handful of good-to-great defenses out there (see Denver, Minnesota, New England and Seattle and maybe this brand-new Philadelphia stop unit belongs in here too) and we've already seen the likes of Denver QB Trevor Siemian, Minnesota's Sam Bradford and rookies Dak Prescott (Dallas) and Carson Wentz (Philadelphia) torch opposing defenses and none of them were exactly high draft picks in your little fantasy leagues, right?
Here's one other item to chew on before we get you the Sunday Night Football preview between the Kansas City Chiefs at the Pittsburgh Steelers:
There's only two NFL teams that enter Week 4 without a single pointspread "W" - yes, the Chicago Bears and the London-bound Jacksonville Jaguars are winless versus Mr. Vig so far - and here the Bears are grabbing a FG price at home against archrival Detroit while the Jags are a 2.5-point "neutral field" underdog against Indianapolis on Sunday morning (9:30 a.m. ET kickoff remember).
Just so you know in terms of historical experience, last year Baltimore started off the season an ugly 0-5-1 ATS (the Ravens "pushed" in their fourth game of the '15 season) before finally landing a pointspread cover ... let's see if the Bears and/or Jaguars can bang out a pointspread win before all bettors from coast-to-coast simply ignore 'em the rest of the way.
NFL WEEK 4 - SUNDAY NIGHT PREVIEW
KANSAS CITY (2-1) at PITTSBURGH (2-1) - 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC
Gotta admit we were quite stunned to discover that last week's 34-3 Steelers loss to cross-state foe Philadelphia happened to be Pittsburgh's worst setback in some 27 years ... so conventional wisdom/common sense gets you to think Mike Tomlin's crew will come out here breathing fire but keep in mind the Steelers are "breaking in" RB Le'Veon Bell (he's coming off a three-game suspension) here and this Pittsburgh defense isn't forcing a whole lot of turnovers.
Game plan for the visiting and 5.5-point underdog KayCee Chiefs here is as follows: Have QB Alex Smith toss a bevy of screen passes against a slow-reacting Steelers' linebacker corps/secondary (one that's allowed 300+ yards thru the air in all three games this year) and then come up with a batch of safety blitzes to get in Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger's grill.
Okay, so we know everyone will be drooling when checking out the fun matchup between Pittsburgh WR Antonio Brown versus KC cornerback Marcus Peters and we know this dude is gonna "travel".
Spread Notes - Pittsburgh is a rock-solid 15-10-1 against the odds as hosts since the start of the 2013 season while Kansas City has failed to cover six of its last nine overall pointspread verdicts while dating back to late last year.