Two Things That Will Win In NFL preseason
Vegas Bookmaker Makes Cowboys And Patriots 7-1 Choice To Meet In Super Bowl...Jets-49ers Matchup 5000-1
NFL Training Camps Open With 1st Preseason Game August 3rd With Cowboys-Cardinals Kicking It Off - Get The Entire Preseason Free
The Hidden Secrets Of Beating The NFL Preseason First - Just Throw All The Numbers Out The Window
By Kelso Sturgeon
There is no mercy; every single day for the first three weeks of National Football League training camps is a trip to Hell. Veteran or rookie, each of the 90-plus players vying for a spot on any of the 32 teams will be pushed to their physical and mental limits - beyond anything the human body was designed to experience--under the watchful eyes of coaching staffs who need to assemble a group of extremely talented gentlemen who can win during the season.
Practice regimens are brutal, designed to test one's body and spirit, and at the end of each day, most players have nothing left to give and know tomorrow it is more of the same. By the way, just when you think practice is over, some assistant coach says he didn't think anybody really tried with their ten 40-yard wind sprints and demands you do them over again.
The only break these guys get is on game days when all the have to do is play under the same circumstances they will during the regular season. Compared to practices, game days are a walk in the park - and the public bets on them as if they are the real deal, having been brainwashed by the NFL suits that they are authentic and important enough to pay big bucks to see them. Please do not call them "exhibitions".
Betting NFL pre-season games are quite unlike regular season contests. The pre-season is for practice and fin-tuning simply to get ready for the real thing. Bettors will have their first opportunity to make a buck in just 10 days when the Dallas Cowboys meet the Arizona Cardinals in the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio and I will be ready for it. Last year's game was cancelled at the last minute because of a paint problem on the playing field.
The Challenges Of Handicapping The Preseason
Handicapping the NFL preseason is an exercise conducted without the support of the data that is real and aids bettors during the regular season. In other words, all numbers are worthless. Winning in the pre-season stands on just two factors - inside information and a coach's record in these games.
"Inside information" is an overused term during the regular season but not during the pre-season. It exists and one must dig for it to determine (1) a team's game plan, what facet of its game it is working on and keep in mind both coaches meet beforehand to discuss what they hope to accomplish in these glorified practice games.
Then there is the coaching factor. Coaches do have a history in pre-season games. For instance Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh is 24-12 in pre-season games, Minnesota's Mike Zimmer is 12-1 and Washington's Jay Gruden is 9-3. Meantime, Jason Garrett is 9-16 in his six seasons, as head coach of the Dallas Cowboys. Simply put, some coaches like to win in the pre-season while winning means little to others.
But a coach's pre-season record reveals another solid statistic which can reveal a team's intent in each week of the pre-season. Harbaugh is 8-1 in the first game of exhibition football, while Chicago's John Fox is 10-5 and New England's Bill Belichick is 12-6 in week one. Cincinnati's Marvin Lewis is 10-4 in week four and New Orleans Sean Payton is 1-10.
One must also keep in mind in the complexities of handicapping in August where new head coaches can be under a bit of pressure to win, especially if they are taking over franchises coming off a bad season. A good performance in the pre-season puts butts in the seats in during the regular season for game that is all about money.
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Patriots And Cowboys 7-1 To Meet In The Super Bowl
Several sports books have posted futures odds on which two teams will meet in the Super. From the Golden Nugget in downtown Las Vegas are these odds.
|New England and Dallas Cowboys||7-1|
|New England and Green Bay||8-1|
|New England and Atlanta||10-1|
|New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers||5000-1|
It is of note that in 10,000 ESPN simulations, not one predicted the Jets and 49ers would make it.
No surprise there.
Average NFL Salary Is $1.9 Million
In the world of NFL trivia...
--The average salary is $1.9 million.
--The median NFL Salary $770,000
--Average age of NFL players is 27.
--Average length of an NFL career is 3.5 years.
Odds To Win NFL Championship With Projected Number Of Wins
Here at the odds to win Super Bowl LII, which will be played February 4 of next year at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minnesota. First are the odds to win the Super Bowl, followed by the projected number of wins by each team this season. Win totals can be bet over or under. All figures come from the Green Valley Ranch Sports Book in the Las Vegas suburb of Henderson.
|Arizona Cardinals||30-1||8 Wins|
|Atlanta Falcons||13-1||9.5 Wins|
|Baltimore Ravens||40-1||8.5 Wins|
|Buffalo Bills||150-1||6.5 Wins|
|Carolina Panthers||22-1||9 Wins|
|Chicago Bears||60-1||5.5 Wins|
|Cincinnati Bengals||60-1||8.5 Wins|
|Cleveland Browns||60-1||4.5 Wins|
|Dallas Cowboys||8-1||9.5 Wins|
|Denver Broncos||20-1||8.5 Wins|
|Detroit Lions||40-1||8 Wins|
|Green Bay Packers||8-1||10.5 Wins|
|Houston Texans||20-1||8.5 Wins|
|Indianapolis Colts||50-1||8.5 Wins|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||100-1||6.5 Wins|
|Kansas City Chiefs||22-1||9 Wins|
|Los Angeles Chargers||30-1||7.5 Wins|
|Los Angeles Rams||75-1||6 Wins|
|Miami Dolphins||40-1||7.5 Wins|
|Minnesota Vikings||20-1||8.5 Wins|
|New England Patriots||3-1||12.5 Wins|
|New Orleans Saints||28-1||8 Wins|
|New York Giants||12-1||8.5 Wins|
|New York Jets||125-1||5 Wins|
|Oakland Raiders||5-1||9.5 Wins|
|Philadelphia Eagles||25-1||8 Wins|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||12-1||10.5 Wins|
|San Francisco 49ers||60-1||5 Wins|
|Seattle Seahawks||8-1||10.5 Wins|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||20-1||8 Wins|
|Tennessee Titans||35-1||8.5 Wins|
|Washington Redskins||75-1||7.5 Wins|