Can New England Cover Big Number Against Chiefs Tonight
The Biggest Question About Tonight’s NFL Opener That Has KC At New England Concerns The Number And What It Really Means To Bettors
Defending Super Bowl Champion Patriots Opened -7½ And Were Bet Out To -9½ At Most Books Before Wiseguys Stepped In On KC And Made It -8½
College Football Bettors Should Not Get Carried Away By Anything—Good or Bad—That Happened During Opening Weekend Of Season
By Kelso Sturgeon
It is obvious the world’s bettors believe the New England Patriots, their 40-year-old quarterback Tom Brady and their curmudgeonly coach Bill Belichick who is 226-80 in 17 seasons at the helm are unbeatable at any price. It’s a big and challenging issue, one which was driven home to me in last season’s Super Bowl when I too a giant stand on underdog Atlanta and watched in disbelief while Brady led the Patriots from 25 points down in the second half to take a 34-28 overtime victory.
That was long ago but I am still well aware of the damage the Patriots can do to any team under any circumstances, even when it appears impossible. There is a a reason Belichick is 174-124-8 against the spread in his NFL career.
The public is all over New England tonight and the sheer volume of their wagers has pushed New England from a -7 favorite to out to -9.5 in most books. At the time of this writing, the wiseguys have stepped in and started taking underdog Kansas City, with the number being bet down to -8.5 in most places.
For reasons found only in the mystery world, betting on or against New England Is akin to playing Russian Roulette. No matter which side one is one, there is no comfort zone available until the game is over.
It is of note New England has won eight consecutive season-openers and is 7-0 in its last seven Thursday night games. The history between to two teams ads little to the handicapping equation. Three seasons ago, New England was a 3-point favorite and Kansas City and was crushed by the Chiefs, 41-14. Two seasons ago, the teams met in the playoffs and the Patriots prevailed 27-20 as 6-point favorites. They did not play last season.
Opening With 25-Unit Side/Total Parlay Tonight
As challenging as any first game of the season can be, my figures say this game is tailor-made for a 25-unit side/total parlay and I am going to release it as just that—15 units on the winner, 5 units on the total and 5 units on the Parlay. Win this Chairman’s Club play with me for just $25, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal.
Better yet, get on board for the entire Chairman’s Club season for just $399. Member gets you a 25-unit to 50-unit college play on Saturday, the same in the NFL on Sunday, most Monday night games, some midweek contests and FREE bonus membership in my Best Bets Football Club that will get your 6-7 additional unit-rated plays each week. It’s a bargain and, again, you can get it all for just $399 for the entire season.
A Warning For College Football Bettors
It is easy to let what happened in the first week of the college season influence you heading into this weekend’s 79 games. It may be difficult to erase from your mind the fact UNLV, a 45-point favorite, suffered the biggest pointspread defeat in the history of college football, losing 43-40, at home to I-AA Howard, a team that won just two games last season.
It also was a real mental stinger that Liberty University, which moves to NCAA 1 football next season, rolled into Waco and as a 33.5-point underdog knocked off the Baylor Bears, 48-45.
This week UNLV is a 6.5-point underdog at Idaho, which is dropping down to I-AA next season, and Howard takes it I-AA game to Kent State, which lost last week at Clemson, 56-3.
It takes 2-3 weeks to really figure out what the lesser college teams can do and there should be no rush to judgement on the first game of the season.
Alabama, Ohio State, Penn State, Oklahoma State 1-2-3-4 In This Weeks Rankings
Kelso’s College Top 20
- Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) hosts Fresno State (1-0)
- Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0) hosts Oklahoma Sooners (1-0)
- Penn State Nittany Lions (1-0) host Pittsburgh Panthers (1-0)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-0) at South Alabama Jaguars (0-1)
- Clemson Tigers (1-0) hosts Auburn Tigers (1-0)
- Wisconsin Badgers (1-0) hosts Florida Atlantic Owls (0-1)
- Georgia Bulldogs (1-0) at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-0)
- Oklahoma Sooners (1-0) at Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0)
- Virginia Tech (1-0) hosts Delaware Blue Hens (1-0)
- Michigan Wolverines (1-0) hosts Cincinnati Bearcats (1-0)
- Louisville Cardinals (1-0) at North Carolina Tar Heels (0-1)
- Kansas State Wildcats (1-0) hosts Charlotte 49ers
- West Virginia (0-1) hosts East Carolina Pirates (0-1)
- Washington Huskies (1-0) hosts Montana Grizzlies (1-0)
- LSU Tigers (1-0) hosts Chattanooga Moccasins (0-1)
- Southern California (1-0) hosts Stanford (1-0)
- Florida State Seminoles (0-1) hosts UL-Monroe Warhawks (0-1)
- Utah Utes at BYU Cougars (1-1)
- Stanford (1-0) at Southern California Trojans (1-0)
- Miami Hurricanes (1-0) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (0-1)
Impact Of Hurricane Irma Remains Unclear
Hurricane Irma, heading towards Florida but still unpredictable in the course it will follow, is set to arrive in the Sunshine State as tropical storm on Saturday with Irma following several hours later. Depending on many things, the storm will impact weekend football. Here is what we know thus far.
In the Colleges…
- The Miami Hurricanes at Arkansas State Red Wolves (Cancelled)
- Memphis Tigers at Central Florida has been moved to Friday.
- The Alcorn State at Florida International will be played at Legion Field in Birmingham.
In the NFL…
- The Tampa Bay Bucs at Miami Dolphins has been postponed.
The bottom line: bettors must check the weather before betting any games from Florida up into the Carolinas. As noted Irma’s path has not yet been determined.