Nationally Televised NFL Knockout Game Wins Tonight
Nationally Televised NFL Knockout Game Wins Tonight
I Just Missed Going 3-0 In NFL Preseason Last Night Winning With Browns And Ravens While Losing By A Half-Point With 49ers
There are just two NFL preseason games on tonight’s schedule - Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets and Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders - and all the important elements of handicapping says one of the aforementioned teams will win in dominating style. Both games are on national television (NFL).
As noted I opened the official NFL preseason last night 2-1, just missing a perfect 3-0 night by a half-point. Please keep in mind you can get the entire NFL preseason, plus daily baseball best bets FREE. Details below.
Last Night’s Results
Cleveland Browns (Pick’em) 20, New York Giants 10 (Won)
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) 33, Los Angeles Rams 7 (Won)
San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) 24, Dallas Cowboys 21 (Lost)
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Winning in the NFL preseason—something I have done for 11 of the past 13 seasons—is founded on inside information, game plans, coach’s records and quarterback rotations. It is as simple as that—and that is where I find myself for Week #1 of the preseason, armed with all the information and insight it takes to win three games.
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HOW ABOUT THE NEW BLOCKING AND TACKLING RULE?
It has already been stated how lost the NFL suits are on the national anthem issue but their stupidity and lack of understanding of football made them issue a new and ridiculous blocking and tackling rule-that being you can never lower your head to do either. In other words you must do these things with your head up. It was meant to cut down on injuries. Why not dress all the players in ballet gear?
The fact is, blocking and tackling with your head up puts one in danger of a broken neck. When doing either of these things players need their heads down to protect themselves and this has nothing to do with helmet-to-helmet hits or spearing. It's just the way it has always been done. By the way, just wondering if this rule also includes running backs who are given the ball a few inches short of the endzone? Been watching the game for decades and do not recall a running back trying to crash a goal-line defense with his head anywhere but down.
The only salvation in this is the fact the officials do not understand the rule and cannot explain it and the players remain confused and baffled as to what is legal and what is not. Take it to the bank, the rule will not last the seasons. And by the way, there is a strong movement afoot to eliminate kickoffs because they are too dangerous and produce too man injuries.
As noted, the cloud gets darker and larger day-by-day.
FACTS ABOUT HANDICAPPING NFL PRESEASON
Handicapping during the NFL preseason is a far different animal that analyzing regular-season games. Bettors can win-something I have proven in 11 of the last 13 preseasons-but it requires working overtime to deal with this added elements.
- Most of the teams in each game have practiced against one another the two or three days before the game.
- Coaches discuss with one another their game plans and what they hope to accomplish in each mean-nothing game.
- Re #2, coaches give little thought about winning or losing. It's all about timing and fine-tuning game plans for the regular season.
- A coach's record in previous preseasons signals how his teams might perform this time around. For instance Baltimore's John Harbaugh is 29-12 (71% winners) in the preseason. Denver's Vance Joseph is 4-0, and the Vikings Mike Zimmer 14-3, just to name a few.
- A team's week-by-week record tells you which week he likes to win. For instance Harbaugh is 10-1 in Week #1 of the preseason while Sean Peyton's New Orleans Saints are 1-11 in Game #4.
- Teams that see a lot of their players injured in the preseason will immediately back off and play conservatively in hopes of avoiding even more injuries.
- Charting the play of a team's quarterback rotation is an absolute must in order to determine how they are performing. For instance Indianapolis QB Andrew Luck, coming off a severe shoulder injury that sidelined him last season already looks shaky to me while Alex Smith, who has moved from Kansas City to Washington has looked like a million dollars.
- The fact the offenses are controlled accounts for most of the totals being in the low 30s.
- Pay attention to line moves. The sharps may know something you do not.
- Never bet more than you can afford to lose.