Thanksgiving Day Football Previews

Okay, so are points gonna be as plentiful on Thanksgiving Day in the three NFL games as they were in Monday Night's wild 54-51 win/push by the Los Angeles Rams over the Kansas City Chiefs? Stay tuned and let's just say that "over" winner for the public was as easy as pumpkin pie, eh? We're zooming in on what should be a great holiday weekend of NFL Week 12 and College Football and here's a quickie reminder ...


NFL WEEK 12 - THANKSGIVING DAY

CHICAGO (7-3) at DETROIT (4-6) - 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS
The Bears beat up the Lions 34-22 just two weekends ago (and it was really never that close) and the key here is whether the hosts can limit the running yards of Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky - he's become a real menace when tucking-and-running for first downs.
Spread Notes - Don't look now but the Chicago Bears have reeled off four consecutive pointspread victories and rookie coach Matt Nagy's crew is a perfect 3-0 ATS (against the spread) whenever playing fellow NFC North teams, The Detroit Lions, meanwhile, are a better-than-you-though 6-4 ATS so far this year but overall the Motowners are 2-5-1 spreadwise in their last eight head-to-head games with "Da Bears".

Here's the last 5 Thanksgiving Day games played by the Detroit Lions:

YEAR FAV ATS DOG SCORE
2017Minnesota- 2.5DETROITVikings win 30-23
2016DETROIT- 1.5MinnesotaLions win 16-13
2015DETROIT- 3PhiladelphiaLions win 45-14
2014DETROIT- 7ChicagoLions win 34-17
2013DETROIT- 6.5Green BayLions win 40-10

The Lions have won/covered four of their last five Thanksgiving Day games while as you'll see below, the Cowboys are 2-3 SU (straight-up) and 0-5 ATS in their last handful of Turkey Day games ... surprised?
 

WASHINGTON (6-4) at DALLAS (5-5) - 4:30 p.m. ET, Fox
The mad scramble for the NFC East crown is officially on - okay, so the' Skins must go it without QB Alex Smith (do not watch that injury replay anymore!) and with journeyman Colt McCoy behind that battered O-line while you can expect the Cowboys to "feed" RB Ezekiel Elliott 25-to-30 carries here - note the totals price here is down to 40.5 points. Hmmm.
Spread Notes - Dallas is a dead-even but vig-losing 5-5 against the odds this season and so that makes the 'Boys 63-67-3 ATS under head coach Jason Garrett ... ugh! On the flip side, Washington's covered five of its last six games while heading into this holiday duel and the 'Skins are a sparkling 8-2 spreadwise in their last 10 games when in the underdog role.

Here's the last 5 Thanksgiving Day games played by the Dallas Cowboys:

YEAR FAV ATS DOG SCORE
2017LA Chargers- 1DALLASChargers win 28-6
2016DALLAS- 5.5WashingtonCowboys win 31-26
2015Carolina- 1DALLASPanthers win 33-14
2014DALLAS- 3PhiladelphiaEagles win 33-10
2013DALLAS- 9.5OaklandCowboys win 31-24

 

On Thursday Night, it's ...
ATLANTA (4-6) at NEW ORLEANS (9-1) - 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
In his latest performance, Saints slinger Drew Brees threw for 363 yards with 4 TDs and - dare we say - this could well be the best season any NFL quarterback has ever had. In case you're wondering, New Orleans has scored 30+ plus in eight different games this year and that defense is perking up now too having allowed a grand total of 21 points to be scored the past two weeks. Any life left in these moribund Falcons who have lost four different "one-score" games this year?
Spread Notes - First things first, N'Orleans rolls into this prime-time tilt on an eight-game pointspread winning streak and right now the Saints are a collective 108-86-4 ATS under boss-man Sean Payton (that's a solid .557 winning rate). Atlanta is a crummy 3-7 against the Las Vegas price tags this year and the Falcons are 4-10 vig-wise away since the start of last year.

 

 

On Thursday night in college, it's ...

 

#21 MISSISSIPPI STATE (7-4, 3-4) at OLE MISS (5-6, 1-6) - 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
This year's Egg Bowl could be a lopsided affair - note Miss State went from an 8.5-point opening-line favorite to 10.5 points before you could say Archie Manning - and note the visiting Bulldogs have the country's fourth-ranked defense these days. If State QB Nick Fitzgerald puts together one of his patented 100-yard rushing / 200-yard passing games here then the chalk should romp but consider Ole Miss did win this rivalry game 31-28 last year as two-TD underdogs.
Spread Notes - Miss State's snagged 7-of-11 pointspread wins this year but overall the Bulldogs are just 3-6 ATS in SEC games the past year-plus; Ole Miss, meanwhile, is 3-8 against the juice this year and note the Rebels are 3-8 ATS at home since the start of the 2017 season.

 

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