TNF Preview and More College Spread Notes

Tonight, it's ... NEW ORLEANS (10-1) at DALLAS (6-5) - 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox / NFL Network
The numbers don't lie: The N'Orleans Saints have scored 30+ points in nine different games this year and savvy slinger Drew Brees (29 TDs / 2 INTs) seems to make news whenever he throws a rare incompletion ... and so the simple game plan for the Dallas Cowboys here is to get in his grill from the get-go and then hope that a steady diet of runs by RB Ezekiel Elliott (NFL-high 1,074 yards rushing while averaging 4.9 ypc) will power the 'Boys to the winner's circle. The Saints average 37.2 ppg but if pass star rusher DeMarcus Lawrence can beat his blockers to the punch, Elliott gets 25+ touches and Cowboys' QB Dak Prescott makes some chain-moving plays on third down, then this conceivably could be upset city for "America's Team".
Spread Notes - The Saints are a perfect 5-and-oh against the odds on the NFL road this year and they are a composite 16-5-1 ATS away since the start of the 2016 season; The Cowboys, meanwhile, have covered five of their last seven games since getting off to a slumbering 1-3 spread start. Overall, Dallas is a solid 9-5 ATS as an underdog side the past two-plus seasons.

 

MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME KEY SPREAD STATS

On Friday, it's ...
MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSIP GAME - at Detroit, MI
NORTHERN ILLINOIS (7-5) vs. BUFFALO (10-2) -- 7 p.m. ET, espn2
The Buffalo Bulls are an electric 9-3 ATS overall this year and that includes covers in six of their last seven tilts; Northern Illinois is 8-4-1 spreadwise as underdog sides going back to late 2016.

On Saturday, it's ...
SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - at Atlanta, GA
#1 ALABAMA (12-0) vs. #4 GEORGIA (11-1) - 4 p.m. ET, CBS
The 'Bama Crimson Tide is 8-4 versus the vig this year and all dozen games had Nick Saban's crew as double-digit betting favorites. Note that Alabama is a snazzy 18-12 ATS in SEC games the past two-plus seasons. Georgia, on the other hand, is 24-14 odds-wise since the arrival of third-year head coach Kirby Smart. The Dawgs have not been point-grabbers all this year but Georgia's 5-2 ATS as pups under Mr. Smart.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - at Boise, ID
#25 FRESNO STATE (10-2) at #22 BOISE STATE (10-2) - 7:45 p.m. ET, ESPN
Note that Boise State's 24-17 win as 2.5-point home underdogs against Fresno State back on Nov.9th snapped a four-game spread winning streak for the F-State Bulldogs in this Mountain West Conference series. One other item: Fresno State's 18-6-1 against the odds under second-year boss Jeff Tedford.

BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - at Indianapolis, IN
#21 NORTHWESTERN (8-4) vs. #6 OHIO STATE (11-1) - 8 p.m. ET, Fox
Strange but true, the Ohio State Buckeyes are 11-16 ATS in all Big 10 games since the start of the 2016 season and Urban Meyer's crew is 5-9 ATS as twin-figure favorites since the middle of last year; Northwestern is just 6-5-1 against the Vegas prices did year but check it out: The Wildcats are 30-18-1 ATS overall these past four seasons.

 

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Friday Nov. 30

PAC-12 Championship
#11 Washington Huskies (-5) vs #18 Utah Utes 8:00 EST...FOX
Huskies Won 21-7 At Utah During Regular Season

Saturday, Dec. 1

Big 12 Championship
#5 Oklahoma Sooners (-8) vs. #14 Texas Longhorns Noon EST...FOX
Texas Won At Oklahoma 48-45 During Regular Season

American Athletic Conference Championship
#9 Central Florida Knights (-3.5) vs. Memphis Tigers 8-4 3:30 EST...ABC
Central Florida Will Be Without Its Starting QB and Is Going For 25th Straight Win

Southeastern Conference Championshp
#1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-13.5) vs. #4 Georgia Bulldogs 4:00 EST...CBS
These Two Teams Met For National Championship Last Year And 'Bama Won 26-23 As 3.5-Point Favorite

Mountain West Conference Championship
#22 Boise State Broncos (-2.5) vs. #25 Fresno State Bulldogs 7:45 EST...ESPN
Boise State Is 113-8 at Home Since 2000 And Beat Fresno State There 24-17 During Regular Season

Big Ten Championship
#6 Ohio State Buckeyes (-14) vs #21 Northwestern Wildcats 8:00 EST...FOX
Ohio State Has Won 6 Straight Against Northwestern While Wildcats Are 15-1 In Their Last 16 Big Ten Games

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