Okay, so are you thinking that the Golden State Warriors are a "lock" to win / cover here in tonight's Game 4 of the NBA Finals just because the two-time defending champions are coming off a Game 3 SU (straight-up) loss?

True, Golden State bounced back from a Game 1 loss in this year's NBA Finals to beat Toronto 109-104 as 2-point road underdogs – all hail the famed zig-zag theory there – but the bottom line is the Warriors are just 3-2 ATS (against the spread) off a playoff loss this 2019 post-season:

Here's how Golden State has fared in the game immediately following a SU loss this post-season – note all home teams in CAPS below:

4-18Golden St- 9.5LA CLIPPERS132-105
4-26Golden St- 10.5LA CLIPPERS129-110
5-6Golden St- 1HOUSTON108-112
5-8GOLDEN ST- 6Houston104-99
6-2Golden St+ 2TORONTO109-104

Obviously, this here-and-now Warriors' team is wounded – no Kevin Durant for this Game 4 bash and a somewhat compromised Klay Thompson (hamstring) who saw his consecutive playoff game streak end at 120 games by missing Game 3. And no big man Kevon Looney either, and that's a real blow.

So, whether Golden State can bounce back off a loss to win/ cover tonight or not, the fact is Steve Kerr's crew will be short-handed – again – and facing a confident Toronto team.



Tonight, it's ...TORONTO at GOLDEN STATE – Raptors lead series 2-1 / Game 4 at 9:07 p.m. ET, ABC
Make no mistake about it: The Raptors have their groove on these days after shooting better than 52 percent from the field in that 123-109 win this past Wednesday night – Toronto canned 17 triples and 26 two-point field goals against Golden State's 12 treys and 24 two-point goals. Will that all change here with Thompson who – we believe – will play no more than 25-to-30 minutes here?

Gotta believe that Golden State's Stephen Curry (game-high 47 points the other night) will look to get Thompson, Draymond Green (17 points in Game 3) and Andre Iguodala (11 points in Game 3) more involved from the get-go here because it became evident the great Curry wore down by early-to-mid fourth quarter.

Conversely, the Raptors couldn't have asked for a more consistent attack in Game 3 as Kawhi Leonard's 30 points led a starting five that each scored a minimum of 17 points. Tell us right now that Kyle Lowry (23 points / 5 triples) and Danny Green (18 points on 6 trifectas) are gonna combine for double-digit "3's"and we'll tell you who's gonna right now. Here's a pointspread note for y'all: The Raptors are 6-1 vig-wise since May 19th.

Here's the 2019 NBA Finals game-by-game results between the Raptors and the Warriors. Note home teams are in CAPS below:

5-30TORONTO- 1.5Golden St118-109
6-2Golden St+ 2TORONTO109-104
6- 5Toronto+ 2.5GOLDEN ST123-109