More Preseason Starts Thursday

Not To Be Disrespectful, But If You Made This Bet You Are Now A Certified Idiot

Cowboys Billionaire Owner Jerry Jones Is Close To Burying His Team Before The Season Begins

This Dodgers Team May Be One Of Best Ever But The Still Are Not Good Enough To Take Down Astros In World Series

College Football Begins In 10 Days With Florida -7 Over Miami And Arizona -11 over Hawaii

 

By Kelso Sturgeon

I have handicapped sports for more than four decades and must admit in my early years in the unforgiving arena of laying $11 to win $10, or laying -140 or taking +130, I learned most of my lessons the hard way. Most of my problems early on came from following the prevailing thought of what I was shared by those long in the business. These gentlemen knew it all but in truth knew little and won because they bet on fixed games or were scalpers.

It took my first 15 years in the game to figure this all out—that in reality most, bettors were wagering under what they thought were the rules of the game which were in fact being played by another menu. Because of this it was then an adventure that meant lose, win, lose, win, lose, win, lose, lose etc. Consistency was absent from the old way. In fact, the most consistent run I had came the year I bet on 31 consecutive losers—most of them favorites—at Keeneland.

Just as was the case in betting football, I was then wagering under one set of rules while horse racing, too, was being run under another. Just in case you are wondering if I figured it all out, I later became an agent for three jockeys—Carlos Barrera, Vincent Bracciale Jr., and Arnold Illiescu—who between them won more than 11,000 races.

This brings me to one of the subjects at hand—how to qualify as one who is a strong candidate for Wagering’s Idiot of the Award. No disrespect intended as I have played that role many times.

BETTING IDIOTS FRONT AND CENTER

This past Sunday, the Houston Astros, the 2-1 favorites to to win their second World Series in the past three years, were -550 favorites over the hapless Baltimore Orioles, a team they had buried 23-2 on Saturday. To make things clear, this meant bettors who wanted to wager on Houston had to lay $550 to win $100. Things were equally as challenging on the money line, where one could take the Astros -1.5 runs and lay $300 to win $100.

One would think bettors, including the sharps and wiseguys, would consider the risk vs. reward factor before betting on Houston, but they obviously did not. In Las Vegas almost 100% of the action was on the Astros—straight bets, money line plays and parlays.

Bolstering bettors hope was the fact the American League’s leading Cy Young candidate Justin Verlander (15-4, 2.82) was starting for Houston and it was of note the Astros were going for their ninth consecutive win and were 20-5 in their last 25. Baltimore had lost five straight by a total of 42 runs.

A lock. An absolutely cinch bet. Impossible to lose.

Once again, the betting world was reminded there is no such animal as a team that cannot lose. Think back to two college football seasons ago. UNLV opened the season as a 45.5-point favorite over I-AA Howard and lost 43-40.

Houston followed suit, losing 8-7, in 10 innings to gain the honor of being the biggest losing road favorite in the history of Major League Baseball.

Again, not to be disrespectful, if you wagered on the Astros at the big prices, laying the biggest road wood in MLB history, you can count yourself in the running for Wagering Idiot of the Year. Like it or not, that’s the truth.

Cowboys Owner Jones Just Whistling By The Graveyard

Dallas Cowboys’ owner has superstar QB Dak Prescott in camp but things are a bit uneasy between the two of them as contract negotiations continue. Prescott, in the last year of his rookie contract, wants $40 million per season, Jones is offering $30 million. Jones says the situation is not worrying him.

Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott, maybe the best in the NFL, is not in camp and is hiding out somewhere in Mexico. Dallas has offered him a new contract of $60 million for four years, with $45 million of it guaranteed, but Elliott has said, no deal. Jones says the situation is not worrying him.

What is this all about? Jones did not become a billionaire because he is brain-dead.

For Jones to say he is not worried is disingenuous. It is like being chased by a grizzly bear or being eye-to-eye with a rattlesnake and having someone yell at you, “don’t worry, everything will be alright”.

This all bears watching.

NFL Preseason Resumes On 2-0 Thursday Night

My NFL Preseason Record Moved To 5-1 And Winning Continues In Week 2 With College Football Just 11 Days Away

As I have noted before, information wins in the NFL preseason and I am confident it will provide us with at least five more winners when Week 2 begins Thursday night. I am off to a 5-1 start and, as usual, am working overtime and burning up the telephone lines to stay current on what is going on in the 32 training camps. The hard work should keep us in the winner’s circle in Week 2.

I am confident I will add two more winners Thursday night when the preseason resumes Thursday night. Keep in mind there will games played Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday in week 2.

Thursday Night’s Schedule

Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)

New York Jets (0-1) at Atlanta Falcons (0-2)

Green Bay Packers (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0)

Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Washington Redskins (0-1)

Oakland Raiders (1-0) at Arizona Cardinals (1-0)

 

5-1 Record In Preseason

8/10…10 Units...Raiders (-4.5) 14, Rams 3 (Won)

8/10…10 Units…Chiefs (-3.5) 38, Bengals 17 (Won)

8/9…10 Units…Vikings (+2.5) 34, Saints 25 (Won)

8/8…25 Units…Bears (-3.5) 13, Panthers 23 (Lost)

8/8…10 Units…Browns (-1) 35, Redskins 10 (Won)

8/1…10 Units Broncos-Falcons Under 34 (Won)

 

You can win each day games for just $15, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal, but a better bet would to be get on board with one of my three preseason offers (listed below), all loaded with winners and the price is right.

AND DO NOT FORGET
College Football Begins In Less That Two Week

Thursday, August 29
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida Gators
Arizona Wildcats at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

 

A LIFETIME OF EXPERIENCE HAS PUT ME AT THE HEAD OF THE CLASS

I have handicapped professionally for more than 40 years.

Past Winner of Vegas Handicapping Challenge, Sands Football Tournament & Public Handicapper Online Challenge

Former AP Regional Sports Editor

Wrote “The Complete Guide To Sports Betting”, published by Harper & Row

Have been written up in dozens of major newspapers… the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times & Washington Post

Have done hundreds of guest appearances on radio and television shows over the years, including a 6-year stint as on the ProLine Handicapping Show (USA Network), where I was referred to as the Dean of American Handicapping.

The Pre-Season is LOADED with CASH
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I finished the 2018 Pre-season 15-7-1 and +65 Units with a Profit of $1,575, (based on $25 per unit)
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I’m Kelso Sturgeon for over 4 decades I’ve been a contest winning professional handicapper. I know how to win the Pre-Season, I’ve done it 11 of the past 14 years. Because I Know The Most Important Factors To Winning Pre-Season Games! My knowledge of the game and the ability to find out these things, wins for me and my clients.

Here are just a few of the HIDDEN ELEMENTS that do just that:

Determining the quarterback rotation...
How much action will the starting offensive line see?
What each coach hopes to accomplish in the game?
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How long will the starting defense play?
How much playing time will draft choices and free agents see?
What veterans are using the Pre-Season to save their jobs?
What teams are trying and what teams are just going through the motions?


Starting with the HOF Game, Broncos vs. Falcons on Aug. 1st, and ending on Aug. 29, there will be 65 games played and you can expect to receive 5-8 unit-rated selections per week. Most games are on TV, and even though these games don’t count in the standings, they DO count in your wallet!


3 Ways To The Money Plus Hundreds of Dollars in FREE Bonuses

1. You can sign up for the NFL Pre Season for $129 and get 3 valuable Pre-Season bonuses that I swept last year.

  • My Pre-Season Game of the Year -  Aug. 26: Cardinals (-2½) Cowboys W 27-3
  • Pre-Season Total Game of the Year – Aug. 24: Lions / Buccaneers (OVER 41) W 33/30
  • Pre-Season Upset Game of Year – Aug 18: Bears (+3) Broncos W 24-23



2. If you’re more ambitious, take the Pre-Season and the first 5 weeks of the regular season (from Aug 31 – Sept 30) for $179. That includes the 3 bonuses above. Plus you’ll also receive these College Kickoffs:

  • Sat Aug. 24: Camping World Kickoff: Miami vs. Florida - Orlando FL 7:00pm ESPN
  • Sat Aug 31: Chick-fil-A Kickoff Classic: Duke vs. Alabama - Atlanta GA 3:30pm ABC
  • Sat Aug 31: Advocare Texas Kickoff: Auburn vs. Oregon - Dallas TX 7:30pm ABC

But wait, there’s more…You’ll also get these September Big Plays I Won last year

            Labor Day Classic Notre Dame at Louisville 8:00pm ESPN
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I started the season winning 18 of my first 30 releases, then really hit my stride for 6 weeks in October/November going 25-9 overall for 73.5%. That included winning 14 of 19 in college (73.7%) and 11 of 15 in the NFL (73.3%). I did have some hiccups in spots, losing 2 weeks and pushing another, but finished strong with an 8-1 record the final 2 weeks of the NFL and ended the season at +120 units!

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Or Call 1-800-755-2255 - You may also reach me at 1-702-420-5074