College and NFL Football Notebook
Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) Top My College Football Top 10 As Former 1-2 Clemson And Alabama Showing Signs, They Can Be Had
It's An Absolute Joke The Michigan Wolverines Are Still Ranked (#20) After The Embarrassing 35-14 Butt Kicking They Got At Wisconsin
Going For Another 50-Unit NFL Winner In Tonight's Eagles (1-2) At Packers (3-0) Game On Fox Also Intend To Score On Navy-Memphis ESPN Game
Once Powerful Arkansas (2-2) Has Fallen From College Football's Elite And Won't Be Back For at Least Ten Years…See San Jose State
By Kelso Sturgeon
Let me be the first to say the Oklahoma Sooners are the best team in college football - not by much, but enough better than Clemson, Alabama and Georgia, ranked 1-2-3 in the polls - to win the national championship. Notre Dame and Wisconsin also are in the mix of teams that could win it all. Ohio State - who knows - since the Buckeyes have beaten four creampuffs by an average of 44.5 points while working overtime to run up the score in each game.
My opinion about the Sooners comes from watching games live, on TV and reviewing films. Keep in mind, the differences between the top five teams in my Top Ten rankings are slim and any of them could beat the other. There are seven important elements used in the way I determine rankings - number of game-breaking skill players, a standout quarterback who has proved himself, the total number of blue-chip players (those coming out of high school ranked at 4-5 stars), an experienced and over the top physical and punishing offensive line, an experienced lockdown defense (when necessary), and last but not least, speed and quickness. Oklahoma has an edge in most of those categories.
My College Top Ten
Alabama Crimson Tide
Ohio State Buckeyes
Michigan Loss Shows Just How Misleading Are The National Polls
The media continues its long-term love affair with teams traditionally considered the elite in the world of college football. There is not better example of this than the Michigan Wolverines (2-1) who are now ranked 20th in the national polls. This alone tells the world the college polls are quite misleading and are an enemy of bettors.
Michigan has for decades been an elite team that deserved all the accolades it received. However, times change, and the Wolverines are in the state of decline and have lost their magic. The Wolverines put that decline on public display last Saturday when they were crushed, 35-14, at Wisconsin (a 25-unit winner for my clients). They were completely outclassed as a 3-point underdog and were never in the game. It was embarrassing.
The Wolverines were able as a 36.5-point favorite to hide their weak spots in a opening, 40-21, victory over Middle Tennessee State but had them all exposed the next week, also in Ann Arbor, when Army, a 22.5-point underdog, took Michigan to two overtimes before the latter prevailed, 24-21. That narrow win opened the door to the truth.
Still, when the polls came out, Michigan held down the #20 spot. The Wolverines are not the only ranked team that deserves no spot in the Top 25. Includes on that list would be #9 Florida, #11 Texas, #15 California, #16 Boise State and #18 Virginia. None of these teams have the talent to even win their own conference titles, let alone be a Top 25 team.
One can judge a team such as Michigan by its losses. Last season the Wolverines went 10-3 and lost to Notre Dame, Ohio State and Florida. The year before (8-5) the losses came at the hands of Michigan State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Ohio State and South Carolina. In 2016, the losses came against Iowa, Ohio State and Florida State. The year before the 10-3 Buckeyes went down to Utah, Michigan State and Ohio State.
It is of note 10 of the 14 losses over the past four seasons were on the road. Elite? Far from it. Be cautious and ignore the public polls.
The Mess In Fayetteville Will Require Years To Fix
The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2) are another team that has fallen from grace and faces a near-impossible task of regaining its elite status. The Hogs faithful thought the 2-10 season in 1018, with first-year coach Chad Morris in charge, illustrated rock-bottom. The wins were over I-AA Eastern Illinois, 55-22, and Tulsa, 23-0. The losses came at the hands of the usual SEC suspects, plus Colorado State and North Texas. Rock bottom? Not Quite.
Last Saturday, the Razorbacks took the field in Fayetteville as 20-point favorites over San Jose State and lost, 31-24. To me it was the worst loss Arkansas had suffered in the last 25 years. San Jose State, which currently is one of the whipping boys in the Mountain West Conference, had won just three games in the 2017 and 2018 seasons, and was at Arkansas just to pick up a $1.5 million paycheck the athletic department desperately need.
It was supposed to be an easy win for the Razorbacks and a canon fodder day for the Aztecs. By the way, San Jose State's one win last season came over a terrible UNLV team and the year before that the victories were over I-AA Cal Poly-SLO and Wyoming. San Jose State opened this season with a 35-18 win over I-AA UC-Davis and a home loss to Tulsa. Now, it was on to Arkansas for a get-in and get-out. The Census Bureau estimates the population of the United States is 329,510,372 and it is not a stretch to estimate one could not find five people who thought the Spartans would win.
And, then the degrading shot to the gut that inspired San Jose State. An Arkansas linebacker, obviously a member of Mensa, was quoted as say San Jose State could not-would not gain a single yard rushing against the Arkansas defense. He was right. The Spartans did not have zero yards on the ground but 106 and, had a total offense figure of 508 yards as they led from start to finish. As I said to every single offensive lineman, I ever mentored to get him ready for the transition to the college game - "Rule #1 is to keep you mouth shut before and during a game."
Highrollers Go For Another 50-Unit NFL Winner Also Intend To Cash On Navy At Memphis - Both Games On National TV
I had an excellent weekend in the NFL and began this week on a winning note with a 50-unit bet on the Chicago Bears (-5.5) who crushed the Washington Redskins, 31-15, Monday night. The winning continues tonight as the injury-riddled Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) visit the Green Bay Packers (3-0). This will be another 50-unit highroller bet for me and the only question I have is why is Green Bay just a 4-point favorite? Is something up?
This game begins at 8:20 and will be televised on FOX. Win this one for just $50, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal.
The smell or revenge is in the air tonight in Memphis, where the Tigers (3-0) take on the Midshipman of Navy (2-0) in a nationally televised (ESPN) American Athletic Conference contest. Last year, in Annapolis, Navy, a 6.5-point underdog, came from 12 points down in the fourth quarter to pull off the upset, 22-21. Memphis is a 10.5-point favorite in this battle of unbeatens and you can win this 15-unit play for just $15, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal.