Weekend Wrapup and MNF Preview

Kelso's 7-1 Record In NFL This Week

50 Units…Vikings (-5.5) 28, Giants 10 (Won)
20 Units…Eagles (-14) 31, Jets 6 (Won)
20 Units…Patriots (-17) 33, Redskins 7 (Won)
10 Units…Parlay of Eagles-Redskins (Won)
15 Units…Bears (-5.5) 21, Raiders 24 (Lost)
10 Units…Cardinals (+3) 26, Bengals 23 (Won)
10 Units…Bills (+3) 14, Titans 7 (Won)

50 Units…Rams (+1.5) 29, Seahawks 30 (Won)

So it only seems as if the New England Patriots get to chase after perfection on an annual basis but noooo ... In fact, go back the past 10 years and you'll find that the Patriots started out a season at 10-0 SU (straight-up) back in 2015 - yes, the only time in the past five years the Pats didn't make it all the way to the Super Bowl! - and only one other time during the past decade did Bill Belichick's crew begin a year as good as 4-0 SU.

We bring this little history lesson to light 'cause the Pats have started out this here-and-now campaign at 5-0 SU following Sunday's slow-starting but quick-finishing 33-7 win /cover at the 16.5-point underdog Washington Redskins but N'England is not the only something-and-oh team in the National Football League right now.

Introducing the San Francisco 49ers who enter this evening's Monday Night Football clash against the Cleveland Browns with season-starting back-to-back-to-back wins against Tampa Bay / Cincinnati / Pittsburgh ... right, this trio hardly represents a "who's who" of top-flight teams in this league these days (they're a combined 3-12 SU, you know) and so the gridiron spotlight shines bright on a 49ers team that - get this - hasn't made the playoffs since 2013 and hasn't had a non-winning year since 2014. So, take a moment to digest all that, if you would!

Tonight, it's ... CLEVELAND (2-2) at SAN FRANCISCO (3-0) - 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Okay, so neither of these franchises has experienced much winning in recent years as San Fran's 20-47 SU since the start of the 2015 campaign while Cleveland's 13-54-1 SU during this very time span ... yuck! But this year it's all about the revival of these franchises: For all the talk about QB Baker Mayfield, WR Odell Beckham, Jr. and out-of-shape head coach Freddie Kitchens, you could say Browns' RB Nick Chubb - fresh off a 165-yard rushing outing at Baltimore in a 40-25 win - is the single most important player on this AFC North crew and anything "north" of 100 yards rushing here will give the 5-point underdog Browns a solid shot at the upset.

On the flip side, Niners' LT Joe Staley (broken leg) is out for the next 6-to-8 weeks, so replacement / rookie Justin Skule has to be solid and help keep QB Jimmy Garappolo (739 yards passing with 5 TDs and 4 INTs) in the upright position here ... or else.

Spread Notes - San Francisco has covered two of its first three games this year but overall the Niners are 5-11 versus the vig at home under third-year head coach Kyle Shanahan. Meanwhile, Cleveland's a hearty 9-5-1 spreadwise as underdogs since the start of last year.

In other NFL Week 5 News / Notes ...

The Kansas City Chiefs actually started off the past two seasons at 5-0 SU (straight-up) you can dim the lights on any talk of a perfect season here in '19. Last night's sluggish 19-13 home loss against the 10.5-point underdog Indianapolis Colts showed two things, for sure: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is not "Superman" as his twice-injured ankle forced him to be a sedentary figure in the pocket and there was absolutely no juice to his game (see misleading 321 passing yards with only one TD) while the heady Colts sucked the life out of Arrowhead Stadium with a patient ground game that produced 180 rushing yards as RB Marlon Mack starred (see 29 carries for 132 yards).

A few hours earlier, the Dallas Cowboys (3-2) dropped their second straight game - the above-mentioned 34-24 loss against Green Bay wasn't nearly that close as the Pack once led 31-3 - and suddenly that run defense for the 'Boys looks pretty shoddy: Green Bay RB Aaron Jones averaged 5.6 yards per pop, finished with 107 yards rushing overall and scored four ground TDs in the outright win for the road guys. Hmm, wonder why we didn't get many "shots" of Dallas mastermind Jerry Jones in his private booth here?



UL-Lafayette, that's the answer. Oh, the question? Who's the only college football team out there that's still perfect against the spread this 2019 season? The ULL Ragin Cajuns actually had last weekend off - they'll host Sun Belt Conference rival Appalachian State in a Wednesday night game on espn2 and right this minute Lafayette's a mere 1-point betting favorite - and they'll zoom into that prime-time affair at 5-0 ATS with pointspread wins against Miss State, Liberty, Texas Southern, Ohio and Georgia Southern. So, three cheers for these kids from the Bayou.

But the fact of the matter there were three other major-college teams that entered this past weekend perfect against the odds but Auburn, Oklahoma State and SMU all got busted at the wagering windows with both Auburn (- 2.5) getting whacked by Florida 24-13 and Oklahoma State (- 9.5) getting whipsawed 45-35 at Texas Tech.

SMU (- 12) needed three - count 'em, three - overtime sessions to slip past Tulsa 43-37 but that perfect 5-and-oh spread start was extinguished and so it's all down to UL-Lafayette to carry the mantle as the sport's only undefeated spread team among 130 FBS schools.

In other NCAA Football Weekend News / Notes ...

Nice to see Rutgers "react" to last week's firing of fourth-year head coach Chris Ash (axed Sept. 29th). New interim boss Nunzio Campanile's club was pummeled 48-7 at home versus two-TD fav Maryland and how about the fact the sad sack Scarlet Knights allowed an 80-yard run, an 80-yard pass play and a 100-yard kick return? ...

Could a Big 10 quarterback look any worse than Iowa's Nate Stanley in that snore-fest 10-3 loss at Michigan? Stanley was picked off three times and sacked eight times - many of them his own fault - and suddenly the season could be spiraling down what with Iowa (4-1) home to Penn State this weekend ...

Finally, the Pac-12 now has zero hopes of getting a team into this year's College Football Playoffs: 15th-ranked Washington - a 13.5-point road fav - got squashed at Stanford 23-13 last Saturday night as the Huskies were out-yarded 477-to-273 while 13th-ranked Oregon did itself no favors with that sluggish 17-7 non-cover win against three-TD pup California. One note regarding the Ducks (4-1) is they've now lost eight of their last dozen pointspread verdicts dating to 2018 ... ugh!

P.S. College Football Betting Favorites went 25-22-0 with 1 Pick 'Em game this past weekend. For the year, College Favs are 147-130-9 (that's a solid .531 winning rate).