The Washington Nationals World Series Odds
The Washington Nationals are rolling, with a 28-18 record and a lead of 7.5 games in a weak NL East. The Nats are sitting at a 10-1 price to win the World Series in October. Is now too early to jump on that price or is this is as good as it will get for the Nats? And in either case, are they good enough to cash it in?
The first question is perhaps the easiest to answer. While I won’t literally say the price will not go higher than 10-1 if the Nats slump, it’s hard to see the value getting a whole lot better. The Nats are not being challenged in their division—the Mets are in disarray with injuries and some internal problems. In the National League overall, Washington is still not considered in a class with the Chicago Cubs. It’s more likely the Nats move closer to the Cubs in price than further away.
So that leaves the next question—are they good enough? The lineup is blasting baseballs all over the Beltway. Bryce Harper is on a quest for another MVP award, with a stat line of .450 on-base percentage/.673 slugging percentage. Ryan Zimmerman is at .401/.699.
Harper and Zimmerman get plenty of help, ranging from Daniel Murphy (.373/.554) to Anthony Rendon (.380/.516) to Jayson Werth (.387/.460) to Matt Wieters (.357/.440). Unsurprisingly, this lineup leads the National League in runs scored.
You can make a very good case that the bats will come down to earth. Zimmerman is certainly playing over his head and given his injury history, it would be a victory if he just stayed on the field the rest of the year. Of the supporting cast, none of the players individually are off the charts, but it’s been a stroke of good fortune that every single one is performing at what’s realistically their highest level. It’s a safe bet that one or more of them come down to earth.
Thus, we have an offense likely to see multiple players decline in production with no one likely to do much better than what they’re at currently. Isn’t that a sure sign that the team will slow down?
It might be, but there’s hope for better on the pitching front. The Nats are getting good, but not great years, from Stephen Strasburg (3.28 ERA) and Max Scherzer (3.02 ERA). One or both could easily join Gio Gonzalez (2.90 ERA) in the world of sub-3.00 ERA pitchers.
Furthermore, the back end of the rotation and the bullpen are significant issues right now, resulting in the staff ERA being a mediocre seventh in the NL. The long-term World Series hopes of the Nationals rest on fixing these areas, particularly the bullpen, which has proven so important in postseason play.
The Washington Nationals aren’t the only baseball entity on a winning run. I’ve been doing pretty well myself at the betting window. I’m on a 7-4 run as we head into the weekend and if you adjust for money management and the moneylines, that’s resulted in (+37) units of profit in just a three-day span.
Get on board with me today and be a part of the winning all summer long and all through the postseason.