What The Sharps Think About Saturday’s Marquee Matchups
SYRACUSE AT CLEMSON: Why am I putting a game like this in the mix? Clemson’s favored by 25.5 points as we go to press! Very simple. This is an important game for the season because Clemson just made a quarterback change to a guy sharps love. Trevor Lawrence takes over for this game, which caused the opening line of Clemson -19.5 to rise six points! Also, Syracuse is a talented dog that could make this one very interesting if there’s any sort of awkward transition. Looking forward, sharps are much more optimistic about Clemson’s chances to upset the SEC apple cart in January with Lawrence than they were with Kelly Bryant (who has already announced he’s transferring). Note that the Over/Under rose from 61 to 66. Sharps LOVE the new guy!
BYU AT WASHINGTON: BYU knocked off a highly ranked team a few weeks ago at Wisconsin. Can they do the same thing here? Washington opened at -16.5, and has been bet up to -17 or -17.5 depending on the store. BYU does get interest at +17.5…which could create a tug-of-war between now and kickoff between Washington -17 and BYU +17.5. The Over/Under is in the mid 40’s. This tells you sharps think BYU will have some trouble moving the ball and scoring…more than it did at Wiscy. If sharps LOVED this dog, they would have come in at +17 rather than +17.5.
OHIO STATE AT PENN STATE: This is the game everyone will be watching. Kind of feels like a playoff game already because the winner has the inside track in the Big 10 East. Ohio State opened at -4. No interest on the chalk at that price. We’re now seeing -3.5, and even -3 out there right now. Ohio State’s stats vs. TCU weren’t as good as the final score. And, Penn State’s been closing well since the shaky opener vs. Appalachian State. Quants pounded this Over from 65 all the way up to 71. That tells you the weather will be nice, and that both defenses will likely be overpowered by the opponent’s offensive talent.
WEST VIRGINIA AT TEXAS TECH: West Virginia has a real chance to win the Big 12 now that Oklahoma has been exposed a bit…having to go overtime in Norman against Army. Tough test in Lubbock. Texas Tech found themselves after a poor start, and impressed on the road at Oklahoma State last week. An opener of West Virginia -4 has been bet down to -3.5. Sports books expect the favorite to get hard if the key number of three comes into play.
STANFORD AT NOTRE DAME: Strong interest on Notre Dame from the Wise Guys. An opener of -3.5 moved hard away from the key number. We’re now seeing ND -5.5 painted. You regulars know that any move away from any key number is a big story. Sharps like the quarterback change with the Irish almost as much as they do with the one at Clemson. I do think Stanford money would come in at +6 if the public bets Notre Dame on game day.
MICHIGAN AT NORTHWESTERN: Remember how much the sharps loved Michigan back in the season opener at Notre Dame. Hurt them badly there. Same thing is happening here, but at a higher price. Michigan was bet from an opener of -11 up through a key number to -14.5. And, it’s holding steady with the hook…no buy back on the home dog. That’s tremendous support for the Wolverines against what’s often a feisty home underdog. Opening total of 49 is down to 47, which means sharps think NW will have trouble putting points on the board.