THE NFL REPORT AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RUNDOWN:
Geez, less than 24 hours removed from the Kansas City Chiefs' come-from-behind 27-23 win at the 3.5-point underdog Denver Broncos, we had eyeballed at least three different TV stories/features on second-year KC slinger Patrick Mahomes. Shoot, the guy may or may not wind up being this generation's Brett Favre - with a bit of Russell Wilson mixed in - but gotta be wondering if all the sudden attention is just a little bit "too much/ too soon", right?
Mahomes was magical in that double-digit comeback win that propelled the Chiefs to a 4-0 SU (straight-up) and 4-0 ATS (against the spread) mark - yes, now the only team in the National Football League to be what we like to call "absolutely perfect" -- but the fact remains that Mahomes (304 yards passing and one short TD strike against the Broncos) was aided-and-abetted by the fact the on-field officials didn't blow a play dead that should have been a play-clock violation and instead wound up being a 35-yard completion that set up RB Kareem Hunt's four-yard TD run to win it with 1:39 remaining in a highly entertaining game.
Okay, so KC received the benefit of the non-call there but hats off to Mahomes and Company for this cat-quick start to the season that also includes wins/covers at the Los Angeles Chargers, at the Pittsburgh Steelers and home to the San Francisco 49ers. If you're wondering about whether or not the Chiefs can stay perfect a while longer, note next up is Sunday's home game against defensive-minded Jacksonville (the Jaguars are a 3-point road dog) and then it's a trip to New England, so if Mahomes and mates get to 6-0 SU / ATS then we'll shoot up some confetti. Hey, any more left-handed throws coming from the new phenom?
Meanwhile, we're always looking at the proverbial "big picture" and so we ask the inevitable question: Are these 2018 Chiefs "for real"?
Sorry to rain on your parade, Kansas City fans, but we must remind you this franchise has won only one single playoff game in the past decade - Kansas City 30, Houston 0 in the 2015 wild card round - and the Chiefs have not been in a Super Bowl since SB IV way back in the 1969 season. The defense on this squad is wobbly and doesn't defend the run very well and WR Tyreek Hill can be dealt with as the Broncos showed on Monday Night (see just 54 receiving yards despite 13 targets).
In other words, congrats to the Chiefs on this fantastic start - but don't go making any Super Bowl hotel reservations in Atlanta just yet.
P.S., let's catch up with our NFL Spread Stats as Betting Favorites after four full weeks of action are 27-33-2 ATS overall with one Pick 'Em game tossed in and so that means chalk sides are cashing at a sub-par .450 winning rate so far.
"Over" players are 34-29-0 versus the vig for a .540 winning percentage for those of you interested in totals results.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE
It's not officially "rivalry weekend" but you might as call it that: On Saturday's card, there's a batch of rivalry games including ...
#19 Texas versus #7 Oklahoma and take note the UT Longhorns have covered the last five consecutive matchups against the OU Sooners and Texas is an 8-point pup here and the 'Horns are a blistering 9-3 ATS as dogs the past two-plus seasons;
Navy at Air Force is always a humdinger as these clubs clash with hopes one of 'em can be holding the Commander-in-Chief Trophy at year's end. Last year Navy won but didn't cover the 9-point spread in a 48-45 victory and overall the Fly Boys have covered three of the last four tilts;
Florida State is at #17 Miami and remember last year the U of M Hurricanes snapped a seven-year SU losing streak to the Seminoles but get a load of this: The last four times these teams have bucked heads the winning margin has been 4, 5, 1 and 4 points.
#5 LSU at #22 Florida is another nip-and-tuck rivalry with each of the last four games decided by a full TD or less but gotta hand it to the Bayou Bengals who own a 6-3-1 ATS advantage in the last 10 head-to-head games.