Weekend Football Forecast - Dec 2-5
KELSO STURGEON’S FOOTBALL FORECAST
Volume 18, Edition 15… December 2-5, 2016
Alabama Odds-On 5/7 Favorite To Win National Championship And Will Make Playoffs Even If It Loses To Florida
It's A Done Money Deal... Alabama Vs. Ohio State For Title
Dreamer? There is no denying the eight conference championship games being played this weekend are important to the 16 teams involved because it is always nice to note in one's football history a title. However, if you think the results will change anything you are merely dreaming because it simply is not so. Television executives pick the teams that will compete for the national championship and that means #1-ranked Alabama (12-0) is in, #2-ranked Ohio State(10-1) is in, #3-ranked Michigan (10-1)is in and #4-ranked Clemson (10-1) is in.
Forget about the winner of the Big Ten Conference championship game that matches #6 Wisconsin (9-2) and #7 Penn State (9-2). Ditto for the PAC-12 title game between #5 Washington (10-1) and #9 Colorado (10-2). Nobody in the TV world wants any of these four teams and will attend church services early Saturday to pray for the defeat of Washington. Why - because they do not have the national television appeal of the top. As for undefeated Western Michigan (12-0) - not a chance even if the Broncos beat Ohio by 150 points Friday night in the MAC title game.
Should Washington, a 7.5 point favorite, beat Colorado the selection committee will come up with enough knocks on the Huskies one would think they were 2-11 and why-oh-why did they ever play for a conference championship? That's the truth and how it is in the real world.
In the world of TV football, Colorado, Washington, Wisconsin and Penn State simply do not have the draw, as difficult as that is to accept. Western Michigan might as well of won a rugby championship in Sydney, Australia. To those who pick the Final Four teams the Broncos have absolutely no tingle.
I am willing to be proven wrong but the Final Four will matchup...
#1 Alabama against #4 Clemson in a repeat of last year's title game that was won by the Crimson Tide,
#2 Ohio State against #3 Michigan (wait a minute I thought Wisconsin and Penn State were playing for the Big Ten championship. This matchup will bring to the couch the biggest football crowd of the season after the Buckeyes won a tainted (to some, mostly Michigan fans) 30-27 two-overtime win over Michigan in the team's final game of the season.
How romantic in a world that worships money. These semifinals matchups will be blockbuster TV winners and the championship game on (ESPN) might take some of the sting out of that network losing 11,000,000 paying customers over the past 12 months.
8-Game College Conference Championship Games Set For Friday/Saturday And Includes Three 50-Unit Winners
Win At Least 5 Of These Games For Just $75
I have forever been successful in winning the end-of-season college football championship games and this year is not going to be any different. There are eight title contests scheduled - two on Friday night and six more on Saturday - and I am extremely confident I have the winners of five of those games. This year the conference championship package is made up of three 50-unit games and two 25-unit plays and you can go 5-0 and get all the cash with me for just a $75 fee for the entire package. Bet your money and watch all five games win for you. Get this winning package online or toll free at 1-800-755-2255. All major credit cards and Pay Pal accepted.
College Championship Menu
Friday, Dec. 2
Mid-American Conference: Ohio (8-4) vs. Western Michigan (12-0)
Played at Ford Field in Detroit - Kickoff 7:00 Eastern...ESPN2
PAC-12 Conference: Washington (11-1) vs. Colorado 10-2)
Played at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California - Kickoff 9:00 Eastern...FOX
Saturday, Dec. 3...Home Team In CAPS
Conference USA: WESTERN KENTUCKY (9-3) vs. Louisiana Tech (8-4)
Kickoff 12 Noon Eastern...ESPN
American Athletic Conference: NAVY (9-2) vs. Temple (9-2)
Kickoff 12 Noon Eastern...ABC
Southeastern Conference: Alabama (12-0) vs. Florida (8-3)
Played at Georgia Dome In Atlanta - Kickoff 4:00 Eastern...CBS
Mountain West: WYOMING (8-4) vs. San Diego State (9-3)
Kickoff 7:45 Eastern...ESPN
Atlantic Coast: Clemson (11-1) vs. Virginia Tech (9-3)
Played at Bank Of American Stadium In Charlotte - Kickoff 8:00 Eastern ABC
Big Ten: Penn State (10-2) vs. Wisconsin (10-2)
Played at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis - Kickoff 8:00 Eastern...FOX
College Football Handicapping Insights For Weekend
Western Michigan (12-0) vs. Ohio University (8-4) - A win for Western Michigan earns a spot in the Cotton Bowl and the Broncos are 18.5-point favorites to do just that. Ohio has lost its last three meetings with WMU (last year 49-14) but does not come to this game empty-handed. The Bobcats always come to play and showed in a 31-26 win at Toledo they can slug it out on even terms with the big boys.
Washington (11-1) vs. Colorado (10-2) - Neither of these teams has ever made it to the PAC-12 championship game (there have been five since it all began) but both bring to the table strong credentials. Colorado lost only at Michigan, 45-28, and at Southern California, 21-17, this season while the Huskies suffered their only defeat at home at the hands of USC, 26-13, in Seattle and it is of note the Trojans dominated them from start to finish. Washington is one of the youngest teams in the country but still placed nine players on the All-PAC-12 team. Washington has won six straight in this series.
Louisiana Tech (8-4) vs. Western Kentucky (9-3) - This game is being played at Western Kentucky, where the Hilltoppers stand 15-2 over the four four seasons. These teams played October 6 in in Rustin, LA, the Louisiana Tech won, 55-52, as a 3-point underdog. Western Kentucky suffered its other two losses at Alabama, 38-10, and at home to Vanderbilt, 31-30. The Hilltoppers have won six straight since the loss at Louisiana Tech.
Temple (9-3) vs. Navy (9-2) - This game is being played at Navy, where the Midshipmen are 19-2 in their last 21 games, and they did score signature wins on that field this season with a 46-40 win over then nationally-ranked Houston and with victories over Memphis and Tulsa. After this game, Navy still has to face Army. Temple is a team that has stayed below the radar this season and has in the process made a fortune for bettors, standing 11-1 ATS and will be going for its 12th straight cover in this one. Navy is a 2.5-point favorite.
Alabama (12-0) vs. Florida (8-3) - The defending national champion Crimson Tide are 24-point favorites in the SEC championship game and with a total of 41 it appears bookmakers don't expect much offensive action from Florida which still hopes to live by a defense that is ranked 6th in that category (giving up 291.9 points per game) and 5th against the score (14.6). The problem for Florida is that it will be without six starters and is facing a team that leads the nation in total defense (246.8 yards per game) and in defense against the score (11.4 points). These teams have met eight times in the SEC championship game and each have won four. It would behoove bettors to note this very same injury riddled Gator squad won 16-10 at LSU as a 13.5-point underdog. For certain, both will come to play.
San Diego State (9-3) vs. Wyoming (8-4) - This game is being played in Laramie because Wyoming beat San Diego State, 34-33, November 19, in this same stadium and was the #1 Mountain West Conference because of that. San Diego State was an 8.5-point favorite in its regular-season loss to the Cowboys and is the 6.5-point choice Saturday. It is always tough to win in Laramie because the stadium sits at an altitude of 7,227, or about 1.5 miles above sea level, and the thin air can sap the strength of visiting teams. Now toss in the fact San Diego State, coming from sunny Southern California, will be playing in temperatures in the mid-to-high teens. And, of course, as are most important games played at Wyoming, this one kicks off at 7:45 p.m. when the bitter cold sets in. Just thoughts for your consideration.
Penn State (10-2) vs. Wisconsin (10-2) - This is the most evenly-matched conference championship game on the schedule (Wisconsin is -3) and will be played absent the elements in the Lucas Oil Stadium (domed closed for this one). While both these teams will be ignored for the Final Four they are quite talented and always come to play. It is of note Wisconsin suffered its to losses in back-to-back losses at Michigan, 14-7, and then at home to Ohio State, 30-23, in overtime. As for Penn State, a major surprise in the Big Ten this season, the Nittany Lions lost only at Pittsburgh, 42-39, and at Michigan, 49-10. Penn State has won its last eight games while Wisconsin has won its last six.
Clemson (11-1) vs. Virginia Tech (9-3) - Clemson is a 10-point favorite and should be for this game that will be played at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida. The Tigers stand 25-2 over the past two seasons, with one of those losses coming by 5 points, 45-40, to Alabama in last season's national championship game. Their only loss this season came in a stunning home upset, 43-42, to Pittsburgh. Clemson coach Dabo Sweeney says the Tigers began this season with one goal - to get back to the national championship game and win it. Along the way they found ways to win this season and Swinney says his team is playing its best right now. Clemson prepped for this game last week with a 56-7 win over arch-rival South Carolina. Virginia Tech played hard to get here and is a bit difficult to figure out, beating teams it could have lost to, and losing to teams it should have blown away.
Because Of The Limited Regular Season College Schedule This Week All Football Selections Will Be Available Only Through My Various Services. Here is Saturday's College Football Menu.
- Best Bets Football Club - 2 Knockout Best Bet Winners...$15
- Chairman's Football Club - 25-Unit Underdog That Should Win Straight...$25
- Personal Best Football Club - 50-Unit College Game Of The Week...$50
National Football League Best Bets For Sunday
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (2-9) +3.5 by 6-7 over Denver Broncos (7-4) - As crazy as it sounds I strongly believe Jacksonville is much better than its record, plays everyone tough, had a chance to win its last four games - all narrow losses to Buffalo, Houston, Detroit and Kansas City - and is primed to pull off the upset in this one. Denver will be without the services of starting QB Trevor Siemian (foot injury) and his absence just adds icing to the cake in this one.
CINCINNATI BENGALS (3-7) -1.5 by 9-10 over Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) - I will openly admit I simply cannot figure out what is going on with the Bengals. They are another team far better than their record - and could easily have won their last three games--,losing at the New York giants, 21-20, Losing at home to Buffalo, 16-12, and last week at Baltimore, 19-14. My figures say they will get this monkey off their backs today against a slumping Philadelphia team that opened the season 3-0 and has since gone 2-6.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (9-2) - Los Angeles Rams (4-7) UNDER 43.5 Points - If ever there was a game tailor-made for an "under" this is it. The Rams have no offense, averaging 295.1 yards and 15.5 per game, and New England comes into this wounded with injuries and will go to a conservative game plan because of it. My prediction is 35 or less points will be scored.
Home Team In CAPS
Legend:--SU - Straight Up...ATS - Against The Spread
I found myself quite human the past few days as I dropped back-to-back 50-unit college basketball plays after opening the season 8-0 with these Personal Best Club highroller plays. The two losses left me 10-3 for the season (77.0% winners) and I am extremely confident I will get right back to winning Saturday with another 50-unit college play my figures say will run off and hide from its opponent in a dominating fashion. Winning big bets in the world of college basketball is all about finding absolute mismatches with somewhat ridiculous betting lines and we have been doing that all season . Enough said. I will let my record in 50-unit plays this season (see below) do the rest of the talking. Win this one with me today for just $25, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal.
It is score-time again Saturday and you can win this 50-unit bet for just $25, charged to your major credit card.
A season's membership in my Personal Best Basketball Club for highrollers is available for just $999 and keep in mind that also entitles you to a free membership in my Chairman's Club ($449 value) that will give you 5-6 additional 25-unit plays each week. I will stop right here and let my record do the rest of the talking.
10-3 With 50-Unit College Basketball Winners
11/30...50 Units...DePaul (-8.5) 77, Drake 75 (Lost)
11/29...50 Units...Tenn-Martin (-4.5) 82, Florida Atlantic 81 (Lost)
11/28...50 Units...Kentucky (-16.5) 115, Arizona State 67 (Won)
11/26...50 Units...E. Washington (-2.5) 85, Denver 80 (Won)
11/25...50 Units...Nevada (-5.5) 67, Buffalo 62 (Lost)
11/23...50 Units...Texas Tech (-7) 75, Utah State 51 (Won)
11/22...50 Units...SMU (-19) 84, Cal-Santa Barbara 57 (Won)
11/21...50 Units...Houston (-12) 95, George Mason 56 (Won)
11/20...50 Units...Grand Canyon (-7) 84, Marist 72 (Won)
11/19...50 Units...Belmont (-7.5) 90, Western Kentucky 69 (Won)
11/17...50 Units...SMU (-5) 76, Pittsburgh 67 (Won)
11/15...50 Units...Fairfield (-1.5) 79, Dartmouth 62 (Won)
11/11...50 Units...Tenn-Chattanooga (+3.5) 82, Tennessee 69 (Won)