September 14-18, 2017
KELSO STURGEON’S FOOTBALL FORECAST
Volume 19, Edition 1… September 14-18, 2017
100-Unit College Friday Blowout Kicks Off This Weekend
Defending Champion Clemson 3.5-Point Favorite At Louisville In Most Important Game In Cardinal History
Just Two Games Into Football Season Team Weaknesses Surface And Many Can't Be Fixed
It Just Might Be Time For Texans And Colts To Decide Colin Kaepernick Is The Answer
Alabama, Penn State, Clemson, Oklahoma 1-2-3-4 In My Top 20...Ohio State Falls To #11
By Kelso Sturgeon
Two weeks into the 2017 football season the results have confirmed for the 50th time in the last 50 years that little has changed. There have been big-game winners, major upsets, predictable bounce-back winners, failed quarterbacks and the continued dominance of a handful of coaches and the established ineptness of dozens of others who should be manning the sales booth at used car businesses.
The same yesterday, today and tomorrow until the end of time.
For instance, just to name a few never-ending realities in college football, Alabama continues to kick ass, Arkansas remains college football's "wait 'til next year team", the Southeastern Conference and the Big Ten remain from top to bottom the two best conferences in the country and teams from the second-thought and mostly ignored Big 12 just keep winning while few notice even though underdog Oklahoma buried Ohio State 31-16 at the Horseshoe. The upset reminds me for the Oklahoma-Alabama Sugar Bowl game in 2013, where the Sooners crushed the Crimson Tide, 45-31, as 15=6.5-point underdogs.
The game is the same in the NFL.
Kaepernick May Find A Job In Houston Or Indianapolis
I have no complaint's about how the highly-regarded Houston Texans (-6) performed in their opening 29-7 loss to the visiting and lowly-regarded Jacksonville Jaguars. You see, my Chairman's Club cashed a 25-unit ticket on the Jaguars.
But with that aside, the game confirmed to me the Houston front office is either without a clue on how to build a contender, has a hidden death wish or is operating under a Voodoo Curse. The suits sealed the team's fate before the season even started when they decided Tom Savage, who had started but three NFL games in his career, was the future. His back- up was to be talented Clemson rookie Deshaun Watson, meaning the 1-2 quarterbacks had between them a total of three starts.
For the record, Savage went 7-of-13 passing for 62 yards and no touchdowns. Watson replaced him at the start of the second half and finished with 12-of-23 completions for 102 yards, with a TD and an interception. The two also made the Texans offensive line look terrible because they took forever to read and execute. It resulted in a ridiculous 10 sacks for losses or 54 yards.
Desperation and some very disenchanted fans my bring outcast former 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick out of forced exile.
Colts Going Nowhere With Tolzien At QB
The Indianapolis Colts opened their season as 3.5-pint underdogs at the Los Angeles Rams and revealed their problems go far beyond being without starting quarterback Andrew Luck (still recovering from shoulder surgery). There is no explanation to the how or the why Indianapolis lost 46-9 to a team that went 4-12 last season with the worst offense in the NFL-on that averaged 262.7 yards and 14.0 points per game.
"Embarrassing" does not cover it.
Let's review the accomplishments for the Colts in this one:
--Starting QB Scott Tolzien went 9-of-18 for 128 yards in the passing department, with two interceptions, both returned for touchdowns. His backup, Jacoby Brissett, went 2-for-3 for 51 yards.
--The Colts had 225 yards of offense while the Rams put 373 on the board against a defense that had no answers.
--The Colts had but 10 first downs and did not covert any of 10 third downs.
Desperation and some very disenchanted fans my bring outcast former 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick out of forced exile. The same yesterday, today and tomorrow until the end of time.
The Reason The Collapse Of Baylor Football Has Been So Sudden And Points To 0-12 Season
Those who follow college football are shocked that powerful/once powerful Baylor has lost its first two games to teams it should crush-first as a 33.5-point favorite to I-AA Liberty University and the last week to Texas-San Antonio, an 11-point underdog playing just its fifth season of football. If one has not been paying attention, the outcome of these games could be considered shocking, but they really are not.
This is not the same Baylor Bears team that went 50-15 its last five years under now-disgraced coach Art Briles. The latter was fired before last season and Jim Grobe stepped in in an interim role to coach the team. Under Grobe, Baylor opened the season 6-0 and then crashed, closing out 0-6 before beating Boise State, 31-12, in the Cactus Bowl. All this means is the Bears are 1-8 in their last nine games and the chickens have come home to roost.
The collapse can be attributed to the sexual assault scandal that saw several players accused of just that-with absolutely no repercussions. When it finally surfaced, all hell broke lose and that cloud over the Waco school has not left. There is a limited number of experienced players on the roster but injuries have sidelined some of those who were skill players. New coach Matt Rhule, who built Temple into a national power, started five true freshmen against UTSA and played 14 true freshmen during the game. It's what it is and there is no relief in sight. Up next is undefeated Duke, followed by Oklahoma, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Texas, Kansas, Texas Tech, Iowa State and TCU.
Do the math-0-12.
My Sensation September Package Had A Dynamite Weekend And Goes For Big Bucks Tonight With Unexpected 35-Point Blowout
My Sensational September Program is coming off an outstanding weekend and is going for broke on one of the teams in the three nationally-televised college games that my figures say will win by at least 25 points. The opportunity is just too rich to pass up and I am going to release this team as a 100-unit play, knowing I have all the edges it takes to get the money. Each of tonight's favorites is a double-digit play but I assure you the team I am releasing has played so-so football thus far this season but has practiced in a manner that declares it is ready to show its true self tonight. Win this one with me for just $35, or get on board for the Sensational September Package for a bargain price and save a fortune.
Friday Night's College Schedule
Massachusetts (0-3) at Temple (1-1) On ESPNU
Illinois (2-0) at South Florida (2-0) On ESPN
Arizona (1-1) at Texas-El Paso (0-2) On ESPN
Sensational September Record This Past Weekend
Saturday, Sept 9
25 Units...TCU (-2.5) 28, Arkansas 7 (Won)
25 Units...Penn State (-18.5) 33, Pittsburgh 14 (Won)
25 Units...Georgia (+5.5) 20, Notre Dame 19 (Won)
25 Units...Ohio State (-8) 16, Oklahoma 31 (lost
Sunday, Sept. 10
NFL Game of the Week - 50 Units...Packers (-3) 17, Seahawks 9 (Won)
Bonus Play - 10 Units...Giants (+4) 3, Cowboys 19 (Lost)
Monday, Sept. 11
25 Units...Chargers (+3) 21, Broncos 24 (Push)
Alabama, Penn State, Clemson, Oklahoma 1-2-3-4 In My Top 20...Ohio State Falls To #11
Kelso's College Top 20 (Record, Next Opponent)
1. Alabama Crimson Tide...(2-0)...Hosts Colorado State (2-1)
2. Penn State Nittany Lions...(2-0)...Hosts Georgia State (0-1)
3. Clemson Tigers...(2-0)...At Louisville Cardinals (2-0)
4. Oklahoma Sooners (2-0)...Hosts Tulane Green Wave (1-1)
5. Virginia Tech Hokies...(2-0)...At East Carolina Pirates (0-2)
6. Oklahoma State Cowboys...(2-0)...At Pittsburgh Panthers (1-1)
7. Southern California Trojans...(2-0)...Hosts Texas Longhorns (1-1)
8. Wisconsin Badgers...(2-0)...At BYU Cougars (1-2)
9. Louisville Cardinals...(2-0)...Hosts Clemson Tigers (2-0)
10. Michigan Wolverines...(2-0)...Hosts Air Force Falcons (1-0)
11. Ohio State Buckeyes...(1-1)...Hosts Army Black Knights (2-0)
12. Kansas State Wildcats...(2-0)...At Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0)
13. South Carolina Gamecocks...(2-0)...Hosts Kentucky Wildcats (2-0)
14. West Virginia Mountaineers...(1-1)...Hosts Delaware State Hornets (0-2)
15. Washington Huskies...(2-0)...Hosts Fresno State Bulldogs (1-1)
16. Georgia Bulldogs...(2-0)...Hosts Samford Bulldogs (2-0)
17. LSU Tigers...(2-0)...At Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0)
18. Colorado Buffaloes...(2-0)...Hosts Northern Colorado Bears (1-0)
19. TCU Horned Frogs...(2-0)...Hosts SMU (2-0)
20. Miami-FL...(1-0)...This week's game cancelled
THE SATURDAY BETTING MENU
50-Unit Winning Play On Clemson At Louisville
Defending National Champion Clemson 3.5-Point Favorite At Louisville In What Is Biggest Game In History Of Cardinal Football
The 2nd-ranked Clemson Tigers (2-0) and the 11th-ranked Louisville Cardinals (2-0) meet Saturday night on ABC in a game that matches two of the best teams in the country in a classic offense vs. defense Atlantic Coast Conference showdown. Both teams have the talent to win the national championship (both are 25-1 in futures betting to do just that) and there is no doubt both will bring it in this Sensational September game.
It is a classic offense vs. defense battle. Louisville has the 5th-ranked offense in the country, averaging 614.5 yards per game. Clemson is ranked second nationally in yards allowed (118.5) and points allowed (4.5). Clemson has a 3-0 record against Louisville and beat the Cardinals 42-36 at home last season as a 1-point underdog. In 2015, it was Clemson 20-17 as a 5-point favorite and in 2014 it was Clemson 23-17 as a 9-point choice.
The stage is set for an outstanding game at Louisville's 55,000-seat Papa John's Cardinal Stadium. The differing styles played by both these teams made it a real challenge to handicap but I know I have found the edges to get it done. Kickoff is set for 8:00 Eastern and the game will be televised nationally on ABC. You can win this with me for just $50, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal, or sign up for the Sensational September package and save a fortune. And I am throwing in free, a 15-unit bet on the Texas Longhorns (1-1) at the Southern California (2-0) game that kicks at 8:30 Eastern and that can be seen nationally on FOX.
Three Underdog Stunners Cash As Best Bets Saturday
There Are A Lot Of Outlandishly Crazy Betting Lines In Today's 67 College Games And They Almost Guarantee Three Stunning Knockout Winner
I have said repeatedly over the years bookmakers and linemakers are true experts in challenging bettors with their lines but, like all humans, they make mistakes. Year after year they exhibit the same behavior, over-rating the good teams and under-rating those that do not have a high profile with the betting public. This means the inflated lines on high profile teams give bettors a real and solid edge and one must take advantage of it. We have 10-11 of these games today and three of them have betting lines so far afield they almost guarantee winners. I am going for the money on these three underdogs and you can win the games for just $15, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. Better yet, get on board an entire season of Best Bets Club college and NFL football for just $199 and open the door to an average of 6-7 football winners every week.
Highrollers Go For Another College Game Of Week Winner
My Personal Best Club For Big Bettors Went 2-0 This Past Weekend With WVU And Packers In 50-Unit Games Of The Week And Another One Scores Today
In college football winning is all about finding good teams playing bad teams in games where the betting line does not reflect the real difference in talent. My highrollers club bet into that situation last Saturday and cashed a 50-unit ticket on West Virginia (-25) with its 56-20 win over East Carolina. And, believe me it was never as close as the final score. West Virginia had shown in an opening loss, 34-31, to nationally-ranked Virginia Tech it had the talent and coaching to beat any other team. East Carolina, one with a very respected program, has fallen off the edge of the world with second-year coach Scottie Montgomery and showed that in its opener, a 34-14 loss to James Madison. It was simply power against weakness and we have just that deciding situation in a single game on today's schedule and I am releasing it as my 50-unit College Football Game of the Week. Win it with me for just $50, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. Better yet, get on board for the entire Personal Best Football Club season and week-after-week win all those 50, 100 and 200-unit games.
SUNDAY'S NFL BETTING SCHEDULE IS YET TO BE DETERMINED BUT WILL OFFER TWO 50-UNIT WINNERS-ONE A GIANT UNDERDOG