Football Forecast - October 14-16
Volume 19, Edition 5… October 14-16, 2017
Team Grades Out With 100% Chance To Win And 95% Chance To Cover The Number
Oklahoma-Texas Highlights 4-0 Football Saturday Sooners -8 In 112th Meeting In Classic Series
NBA Begins Regular Season Tuesday Night Warriors 5-8 Choices To Win 3rd Title In Last 4 Years
I Have Been Absolutely On Fire In The NFL, Going 9-2-1 Last Week, 5-1 The Previous Sunday And Stand 5-2 With This Season's 50 And 100-Unit Games
50-Unit NFL Game Of Week Looks Like 3-TD Winner
NFL Parlay...Plus Three NFL Underdog Winners Sunday
By Kelso Sturgeon
Winning big bets in college football is a waiting game and the bigger the bet the longer one waits. This brings me to Saturday's college football card where the waiting ends and I release my single biggest college play of the season - my 300-unit College Football Game of the Year. The team that is my choice in this contest will shock you, the betting line will shock your but the win will not.
The team I am releasing grades out with a 100% chance to win straight up and a 95% chance to cover the number - this according to my figures. As noted those same figures have thus far produced a 6-0-1 run with my last seven big game releases. This time the figures do it with overwhelming numbers.
The team I am releasing grades out on top in all 42 of the handicapping elements I use to analyze college games and I have never missed when that situation existed in the past. Rare is the team that stands 42-for-42 but this team does.
--It has a tremendous edge in talent that is not reflected in the betting line.
--It completely outclasses its opponent on both offense and defense
--It is ready to play its best game of the year while its opponent is in a downward spiral.
--This team is far better than its record while its opponent is simply lucky to be where it is.
I am extremely confident I will win this game and could sell it for any price I wished. But as in the past I hold the line at $50 for this annual event and that is what it will cost you. All major credit cards and Pay Pal accepted. You can get this game online or toll free at my office at 1-800-755-2255. This is your opportunity to make the biggest score of the college season Do not miss it.
6-0-1 With Last 50-Unit, 100-Unit Plays
*10/7...50 Units...UCF (-14.5) 51, Cincinnati 23 (Won)
10/4...50 Units...Arkansas State (-7.5) 42, Georgia Southern 25 (Won)
9/30...50 Units...UNLV (-18) 41, San Jose State 13 (Won)
9/23......50 Units...West Virginia (-21) 56, Kansas 34 (Push)
9/16...50 Units...Virginia Tech (-27) 64, East Carolina 17 (Won)
9/15...100 Units...Arizona (-27) 63, Texas-El Paso 16 (Won)
9/9...50 Units...West Virginia (-24) 56, Eastern Carolina 20 (Won)
*Game Was A Win But Not For Betting Purposes Since It Was Called With 4 seconds Left In 3rd Quarter. Games Must Go At Least 55 Minutes For Betting Purposes
NBA Season Begins Tuesday With 2 Games And I Intend To Start Right Off Winning As I Did Last Year
Golden State Odds-On 5/8 Favorite To Win Another NBA Championship
The National Basketball Association begins its regular season Tuesday night with two nationally-televised (TNT) games - the Boston Celtics at the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Houston Rockets at the defending champion Golden State Warriors - and I am confident I will begin the season on a tear, just as I did last year. I will again have three clubs, all designed to fit the needs of every level of players.
BEST BETS BASKETBALL CLUB - Get daily an average of two-three 5-to-15 unit plays in both the NBA and colleges for the entire season...Just $199 or $15 per day.
CHAIRMAN'S BASKETBALL CLUB - By far my most popular club. All Chairman's releases must qualify as 25-unit plays and members also receive all Best Bets Basketball Club plays. Just $499 for the season, $149 per month or $29 per day.
PERSONAL BEST BASKETBALL CLUB - A club designed for big bettors and highrollers who are looking for an average of four-five 50-unit and 100-unit plays each week. Members also get all Chairman's Basketball Club games. Just $999 for the season, $349 per month or $49 per day.
Get all the details, choose the club that best suits your needs and sign up online, or toll free at my office, 1-800-755-2255. All major credit cards and Pay Pal accepted.
It also is important to remind I am well wired into NBA and college basketball and got my start in this business more than four decades ago making basketball lines for a cadre of bookmakers on the East Coast. I understand teams; I understand lines and why they are what they are. The dividends of experience and knowledge have paid off for decades and they will again this year.
Key Player Injury/Personnel Report For College Football
Clemson - QB Kelly Bryant (Ankle) is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Syracuse.
Miami Ohio - QB Gus Ragland (Lower Body) injured last game, doubtful Saturday vs. Kent State.
Toledo - WR Cody Thompson (Leg) injured last game, out indefinitely.
Buffalo U - QB Tyree Jackson (Knee) is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. No Illinois. QB Drew Anderson (None) expected to start Saturday vs. No Illinois.
Pittsburgh U - QB Max Browne (Arm) injured last game, out indefinitely.
Louisville - WR Jaylen Smith (Wrist) "?" Saturday vs. Boston College.
Iowa State - QB Jacob Park (Undisclosed) out indefinitely.
Kansas State - QB Jesse Ertz (Knee) out indefinitely. QB Alex Delton (None) expected to start Saturday vs. TCU.
Old Dominion - RB Ray Lawry (Hamstring) is upgraded to "?" Saturday vs. Marshall.
Middle Tenn St - QB Brent Stockstill (Collarbone) doubtful Saturday vs. UAB. WR Richie James (Ankle) "?" Saturday vs. UAB.
Nevada - RB Jaxson Kincaide (Knee) left last game, "?" Saturday vs. Colorado State.
Utah - QB Tyler Huntley (Arm) is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. USC.
Oregon State - RB Ryan Nall (Ankle) "?" Saturday vs. Colorado.
Nebraska - RB Tre Bryant (Knee) doubtful Saturday vs. Ohio State.
Arkansas - QB Austin Allen (Shoulder) is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama.
New Mexico State - RB Larry Rose III (Knee) "?" Saturday vs. Georgia Southern. WR Jaleel Scott (Abdominal) is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Georgia Southern.
Tennessee U - QB Jarrett Guarantano (None) expected to start Saturday vs. South Carolina.
Miami Florida - RB Mark Walton (Ankle) is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Georgia Tech.
Key Player Injury/Personnel Report For NFL
Cleveland - QB Kevin Hogan (None) expected to start Sunday vs. Houston.
New England - TE Rob Gronkowski (Thigh) is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. NY Jets.
Atlanta - WR Julio Jones (Hip) injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Miami.
Green Bay - RB Ty Montgomery (Ribs) "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota.
Oakland - QB Derek Carr (Back) is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. LA Chargers.
NY Giants - WR Odell Beckham Jr. (Fibula) out indefinitely.
FOOTBALL BEST BETS
(These Selections Were Made A Few Days In Advance And Kelso Sturgeon Reserves The Right To Change Them and conditions warrant)
(Newsletter Best Bets Went 4-1 Again Last Week)
College Best Bets For Saturday
MISSISSIPPI STATE (3-2) -24 by 31 over BYU Cougars (1-5) - It is absolutely just how bad is this BYU team. It struggled mightily to beat I-AA Portland State, 20-6, as a 37.5-point favorite in its opening game and has since lost five straight - to LSU, Utah, Wisconsin, Utah State and Boise State. The problems are obvious: (1) 2nd-year coach Kalani Sitake does not have a clue and the team has one of the two worst offenses among 128 Division I teams. The Cougars average 11.7 points per game - ahead of only a terrible Kent State team - and rushes for just 97.7 yards (121st of 128). Add to this the fact it does not have a quarterback who could throw his hat in the ocean and the door opens for a get-well win in Starkville.
LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (4-2) -21.5 by 28 over Boston College Eagles - Boston College is afflicted with the same ills that have stopped BYU in its tracks - no offense. While Louisville has lost to nationally-ranked Clemson and N.C. State, it still has the goods to destroy a very boring Boston College team. The Eagles certainly can put a solid defense a decent offense on the field but they have scored just 27 points in their three ACC loses and are not equipped offensively to keep up with Louisville QB Lamar Jackson's passing and running as he runs an offense that can score with lighting speed.
Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3) +3.5 by 7 over MISSISSIPPI REBELS - Neither of these teams have much to offer this season but Vanderbilt does come to play under coach Derek Mason and has the talent to pull the upset in this one, just as it did last year in Nashville, 38-17, as a 10-point underdog.. The Commodores opened the season with wins over Middle Tennessee, Alabama A&M and Kansas State before running into a three-game buzz saw against Alabama, Florida and Georgia. Ole Miss is not close to the latter three teams and my figures say the Commodores will win this one straight up
NFL Best Bets For Sunday
WASHINGTON REDSKINS (2-2) -10-5 by 17-20 over San Francisco 49ers (0-5) - Washington comes into this game off a bye week and is in major bounce-back form off a 29-20 loss at Kansas City in its last game - a contest that was much closer than the final score. The Redskins are simply better than San Francisco and should dominate from start to finish. To me, the 49ers are quite limited in talent and are even more compromised with their focus with protesting the National Anthem. Do the math.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) -1.5 by 9-10 over ARIZONA CARDINALS (2-3) - Tampa Bay is just now coming to hand and my figures suggest the Bucs will stand up and be counted in this one, proving to be far better than their record. I will admit I cannot figure out what is wrong with the Cardinals but they are not the same team they were last year and their two wins have come against two of the worst teams in the NFL - Indianapolis and San Francisco (in overtime). Eagles and lost 34-7 as a 6-point underdog.
Additional Weekend Betting Menu
Saturday, Oct. 14
Another Winning 40-Unit College Side/Total Parlay Saturday
I Have Inflicted Major Damage To Bookmakers This Season With My College And NFL Side/Total Parlays And Go For 3rd Straight Today
Everything has to be in place for me to release any game as a 40-unit side/total parlay - something that happens more frequently in the NFL than in the colleges. Today that situation exists in a single college game among the 56 contests on the schedule. Thus I am confidently stepping in to get the money with just such a bet. This means I will be going for my third consecutive winning 40-unit college side/total parlay and I will be releasing it in the usual manner - 25 units on the winner, 10 units on the total and 5 units on the parlay - and you can win it for the modest fee of just $20
2-0 With Last 2 College Parlays
Thursday, Oct. 5
10/5...25 Units...N.C. State 39, Louisville 25 (Won)
10/5...10 Units...Under 67 Points N.C. State-Louisville (Won)
10/5...5 Units...Parlay of N.C. State and UNDER (Won)
Thursday, Sept. 21
25 Units...South Florida (-19.5) 43, Temple 7 Won)
10 Units...Under 63 Points South Florida-Temple (Won)
5 Units...Parlay Of South Florida and UNDER (Won)
Oklahoma-Texas Highlights 4-0 Football Saturday
The 12th-Ranked Sooners Are 8 Point Favorites Over Texas In The Red River Showdown But That Means Little As These Teams Meet For The 112th Time
It would be a classic understatement to say the Oklahoma Sooners (4-1) and the Texas Longhorns (3-2) annual Big 12 battle on a neutral field in the Cotton Bowl in Dallas was simply a rivalry game. Having met one another 111th times this is one of the season's biggest rivalries and it is of note Texas leads the series 61-45-5 and is the only conference team against which the Sooners have a losing record. There are numerous elements in play in handicapping this game. Weighted heavily in the process is the fact Oklahoma is in major bounce-back form off a stunning 38-31 home loss to Iowa State as a 30-point favorite last week. But one must also throw into the mix the fact that two games ago Texas knocked off this same Iowa State team on the road, 17-7.
There is a 100% certainty both teams will bring their "A" games for this annual clash and that means football at its best. I am releasing this game as my top play of the day and you can win it, plus three additional 10-unit best bets, for just $15, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. Better yet, get on board for the entire college and NFL seasons for just $179.
For the record, I my Best Bets Football Club went 6-2-1 last week and both losses came in overtime. That record is listed below.
Best Bets Club Goes 6-2-1 Last Week - And Both Losses In Overtime
10/8...15 Units...49ers +2) 23, Colts 26 (OT) (Lost
10/8...10 Units...Jaguars (+7.5) 30, Steelers 9 (Won)
10/8...10 Units...Seahawks (+1.5) 16, Rams 10 (Won)
10/7...15 Units...Miami (-2.5) 24, Florida State 20 (Won)
10/7...10 Units...Kansas State (+6.5) 34, Texas 40 (2 OTs) (Won)
10/7...10 Units...Western Michigan (-7) 71, Buffalo 68 (7 OTs (Lost)
10/6...15 Units...Memphis (-15.5) 70, Connecticut 31 (Won)
10/6...15 Units...Boise State (-7) 24, BYU 7 (Won)
10/5...15 Units...Buccaneers (+5) 14, Patriots 19 (Push)
Sunday, Oct. 15
50-Unit NFL Game Of Week Looks Like 3-TD Winner
I Have Been Absolutely On Fire In The NFL, Going 9-2-1 Last Week, 5-1 The Previous Sunday And Stand 5-2 With This Season's 50 And 100-Unit games
Yes, I am consistently week-after-week overpowering the world's NFL bookmakers and I intend to keep right on doing that today with another major big-game score with a team that has all the important edges and is playing in a situation that most of the time almost guarantees the win. I have been absolutely on fire in the NFL, going 9-2-1 last week and 5-1 on the previous Sunday and am wired in to keep right on winning today with my 50-unit NFL Game of the Week, releasing a team that my figures say has a 90% chance to get it done and it simply does not get better than that in the pros. As one can see by the figures below, this winner will be my 4th in a row and follows two 50-unit Game of the Week winners and a 100-unit Game of the Month play with an underdog. Nothing comes easily in getting the NFL money but my record says I am doing just that. Win my 50-unit NFL Game of the Week today for just $50, and set yourself but for a very enjoyable day.
5-2 With 50-Unit, 100-Unit NFL Games This Season
10/8...50 Units...Chiefs (-2) 42, Texans 34 (Won)
10/1...100 Units...Eagles (+2) 26, Chargers 24 (Won)
10/1...50 Units...Bengals (-3) 31, Browns 7 (Won)
9/24...50 Units...Buccaneers (-2.5) 17, Vikings 34 (Lost)
9/17...50 Units...Raiders (-13.5) 45, Jets 20 (Won)
9/14...50 Units...Bengals (-5) 8, Texans 13 (Lost)
9/10...50 Units...Packers (-3) 17, Seahawks 9 ((Won)
Side/Total Parlay Takes Down NFL Money Sunday
I Do Not Like To Blow My Own Horn But There Is Plenty Of Evidence I Am Fast Becoming The King Of Winning 40-Unit NFL And College Parlay
I hit another one this past Monday night when I took down all the money with a 40-unit side/total parlay on the Chicago Bears (+3.5) over the Minnesota Vikings and the under. The final score, 20-17 in favor of the Vikings, got the 25-unit cover for Chicago and Under 40.5 cashed for 10 units. I am coming right back today with another parlay with a team that is simply in the right spot and is being offered to the public at very soft numbers - both side and today.
It takes a combination of factors to bet with confidence a side/total parlay and all those factors are present in just one of the 12 games and that means I am going to take advantage of this perfect situation to win a my second-straight 40-unit parlay on this contest. It required a lot of work and digging to decide to go for the parlay and it all had a lot to do with personnel changes and injuries. Wade through all of this, determine the truth and win - and that is just what I have done.
It will again be 25 units on the winning team, 10 units on the total and 5-units on the parlay and you can win this Chairman's play for just $20, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal.
Win a fortune today without betting one. The only thing that will surprise me would be not winning all three bets. Go for it with me.
It's Another Knockout 3-Dog Day In The NFL
We Are Just 2 Weeks Into The Month And I Already Have Won 8 Underdog Plays Ranging From 100 Units To 10 Units And I Intend To Win With 3 More Sunday
I just keep rocking bookmakers with NFL underdog winners and I am confident that will continue today when I release three more of them. I have already won with 8 NFL underdogs this month and it is of note six of them (75%) won straight up. This success has come mostly as the results from soft - even inaccurate - betting lines on high profile favorites. For instance you can see from my current underdog record listed below I have danced twice against the Dallas Cowboys and won both bets outright. There are 12 games on the Sunday schedule and in five of those contests my figures say the underdog has at least a 50& chance to win straight up and a 70% chance to cover. Those numbers are just too attractive to ignore. You can win three NFL underdog plays with me today for just $15, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. Better yet, get on board for the entire college and NFL seasons for just $179.
8 NFL Underdog Winners Already This Month
10/9...25 Units...Bears (+3.5) 17, Vikings 20
10/8...25 Units...Packers (+3) 35, Cowboys 31
10/8...10 Units...Jaguars (+7.5) 30, Steelers 9
10/8...10 Units ...Seahawks (+1.5) 16, Rams 10
10/1...100 Units...Eagles (+2) 26, Chargers 24
10/1...10 Units...49ers (+6.5) 15, Cardinals 18 (OT)
10/1...10 Units...Lions (+3) 14, Vikings 7
10/1...10 Units...Rams (+5.5) 35, Cowboys 30