Football Forecast Dec 9-11



Volume 19, Edition 14… December 9-10, 2017

Eagles Now 3-1 Favorites To Win Super Bowl

Villanova (9-0), Michigan State (8-1)Wichita State (7-1) 1-2-3 In My Top 10 Rankings As Duke (11-0) Comes In Over-Rated And Gators And Irish Fall From Grace 

By Kelso Sturgeon

In the National Football League it's Week 14 and that means it is time for several teams with playoff hopes to get in or get out. For the record the upstart Philadelphia Eagles (10-2) have replaced the New England Patriots (10-2) as the 3-1 favorites to win the Super Bowl. In college basketball the real power teams have emerged while the likes and Florida and Notre Dame have fallen from grace.
In the crazy world of the NBA the San Antonio Spurs (17-8) are now ready to get with it and pursue their championship ambitions as superstar forward Kawhi Leonard (25.5 points per game) makes his season debut at the Phoenix Suns. Leonard, the best player on the Spurs team has missed the season's first 2 games with a sever quad injury.

The pace in college basketball has quickened as conference season approaches and, even more than that, the true contenders have moved front and center while the pretenders have revealed their true performance profiles which have been exposed in recent losses. Villanova (9-0) grades out slightly ahead of Michigan State (8-1) on the strength of its neutral court 88-72 blowout win over nationally-ranked Gonzaga.

Michigan State is overpowering its opponents game-after game, winning its last 6 by 18 or more points, and are doing it because of the best player in college basketball, sophomore guard/forward Miles Bridges. Wichita State is the sleeper to win it all. The Shockers come to play every single night, snapped Baylor's 46-straight home court win record two games ago and are the best road team in the game, standing an absolutely amazing (some would say impossible) 47-6 in its last 53 games on the road. All three teams have one big thing in common-coaches who are basketball geniuses.

THE BETTING MENU FOR SATURDAY

Win 40-Unit Side/Total Parlay On Army-Navy Saturday
Army (8-3) And Navy (6-5) Meet For The 118th Time
Today And My Figures Say The Die Is Perfectly Cast For A Winning 40-Unit Side/Total Parlay

Bowl-bound Army (8-3) and Navy (6-5) meet today in Philadelphia in a game that will decide the Commander-in-Chiefs Trophy, something Army has not won since 1996. Navy is a 3-point favorite, with the game having a total of 46 and I find both numbers quite accurate. That said, one of these teams has a giant hidden edge and that factor makes this the perfect spot to go for another winning 40-unit side/total parlay. Bettors already know both teams run a ground-oriented offense, with the Black Knights averaging 368.1 rushing yards per game and Navy reporting in at 347.5. It also is of note Army has thrown just 60 passes the entire season, the Midshipmen 99. Hidden in all these figures-and absolutely something the betting public is unaware of-is the thing that will produce the winning side/total parlay. That 3-0 bet will be 25 units on the side, 10 units on the total and 5 units on the parlay. Take advantage of this situation and make the big score for just $25


50-Unit 25-Point College Blowout Wins Saturday
There Are 60 College Basketball Games On Today's Schedule A My Figures Say One Modest Favorite Is Primed To Win By No Less Than 25 Points

I do not know what bookmakers were thinking when they made the betting line on one of the 60 games on today's college basketball schedule but I do know know, based on statistics and my figures, it is off by 5-6 points. Now throw into the mix the situation under which the game is being played and we have all the ingredients for a 25-point blowout win. The team I am releasing is one of the most successful, but still underrated teams in college basketball, is today at the very top of its form and has everything it takes to dominate a much less talented by overrated team. You can get this blowout winner for just $45 and bet with confidence it will bury it's opponent.

 

Win Three Dominating College Bounce-Back Games Saturday
It Does Not Take A Genius To Understand The Best College Basketball Teams In The Country Can Lose And 90% Of Them Bounce Back With A Big Win

College basketball bettors are reminded several times each week that the best can lose, even as big favorites. Leading the way in that department this past week came when #2-ranked Kansas, a 21.5-point favorite lost to unheralded Washington 74-65 on a neutral floor in Kansas City. An outright shocker, to say the least. We have several teams in the same bounce-back mode as is Kansas on the Saturday schedule and I am confident they will return to their best for and win in dominating fashion and I intend to get the cash with three of them. Win these three games with me for just $15, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. Better yet, sign up for membership in my Best Bets Basketball Club for the entire college and NBA seasons for just $195.
 

Handicapping Hints For NFL Sunday And Monday

Detroit Lions (6-6 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-8 SU, 3-8-1 ATS)
Lions have played 9-3 to the Over this season, averaging 26.2 points per game while giving up an average of 25.7. Lions are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in last four games. Tampa Bay is 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games dating back to last year. Detroit QB Matt Stafford (hand) has been upgraded and will start. He has thrown for 3,302.0 yards for 22 touchdowns and just 7 interceptions this season and, just in case you are not aware, Stafford is the highest paid QB in the NFL.

Chicago Bears (3-9 SU, 5-6-1 ATS at Cincinnati Bengals (5-7 SU, 7-5-0 ATS)
Wiseguy money came in early on Bengals. Bears are 0- SU and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games and last week lost at home to the San Francisco 49ers 15-14. Last six Bears games have gone under the total by a 5-1 margin. Chicago is a notorious bad road team standing 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games away from Chicago.

Indianapolis Colts (3-9 SU, 6-6-0 ATS) at Buffalo Bills (6-6 SU, 5-5-2 ATS)
One must pay attention to the injury report in this one. Buffalo QB Tyrod Taylor (knee) had to leave last week's loss against New England and is questionable for Indianapolis. If he can't go, the starting role will fall to Nathan Peterman, a rookie who in his only start, was relieved after throwing five interceptions in the first half.

Dallas Cowboys (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS) at New York Giants (2-10 SU 5-7-0 ATS)
Eli Manning returns as the starting quarterback after being benched for backup Geno Smith in last week's loss at Oakland. That move was the straw that broke the camels back and got the Giants general manager and head coach fired. Steve Spagnuolo, the Giants defensive coordinator for the past five years and former head coach of the St. Louis Rams, takes over as interim head coach. He is considered a defensive genius and is the highest paid defensive coordinator in the NFL at $2 million a year. New York opened the season at Dallas and lost to the Cowboys, 19-3, as a 6-point underdogs.

Oakland Raiders (6-6 SU, 4-7-1) at Kansas Chiefs (6-6 SU, 6-6-0 ATS)
Kansas City opened the season 5-0 and immediately fell off the edge of the world, going 1-6 SU and ATS since them and that includes a 31-30 loss at Oakland as a 3-point favorite. Oakland has been hit hard by injuries to key players this season and still has 10 of them on the sidelines. Oakland is 8-2 ATS on its last 10 trips to Arrowhead Stadium but stands just 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games this season. Totals bettors might be interested in the fact eight of the last nine meetings played in Kansas City have gone over the total.

Minnesota Vikings (10-2 SU, 9-3-0 ATS) at Carolina Panthers (8-4 SU, 7-4-1 ATS)
The Vikings are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games and are a perfect 5-0 SU on the road, while covering four of those five games. While the Panthers are very tough at home, especially as an underdog, the early money bet this game supported Minnesota because the insiders expect the very talented front seven to stop the Carolina running game in its tracks. It is of note Carolina opened the -1 favorite but Minnesota backers came in firing with both hands, driving it out to the Vikings -3 and has since settled in with them -2.5. For the record the Vikings have been the most popular betting team in Las Vegas this week.

Green Bay Packers (6-6 SU and 6-6-0 ATS) at Cleveland Browns (0-12, 3-9 ATS)
Call this one a bit of a mystery as far as the betting goes. Green Bay opened at -6 but the smart money poured in on Cleveland and the Packers are now -3. One thing we know for certain, the Packers still have hopes of making the playoffs and are trying to hold on until superstar QB Aaron Rodgers (broken collarbone) returns next week against Carolina. A Win in this spot would set them up for a run for the money. It is of note Cleveland is 9-28-1 against the number since 2015.

San Francisco 49ers (2-10 SU, 6-6-0 ATS) at Houston Texans (4-8 SU, 7-5-0 ATS)
Jimmy Garoppolo, Tom Brady's former backup at New England, made his first start for his new team last week and led the 49ers to a 15-14 win at Chicago. He certainly is a major upgrade for San Francisco and will be by far the best QB in this game. Tom Savage, who replaced sensational rookie Deshaun Watson (season ending injury), is adequate but certainly is no world-beater. San Francisco opened the season with nine straight losses but is 2-1 SU and ATS in its last three games. Houston opened -1.5 to -2.5-point favorite but, again, the sharps came in and drove the betting line the other way and but the public got on board with the Texans who are again -2.5.

Washington Redskins (5-7 SU, 5-7-0 ATS) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)
The Chargers opened the season 0-4 but have since put it altogether and are showing playoff form, going 6-2 SU and ATS in their last six games. The two losses came at division leaders New England, 21-13, and Jacksonville, 20-17. The Redskins are having their traditional up-and-down season under coach Jay Gruden but they do stand out in one real-the total,. Under Gruden, Washington has gone over by a 25-8 ,margin in its last 33 games.

San Francisco 49ers (2-10 SU, 6-6-0 ATS) at Huston Texans (4-8 SU, 7-5-0 ATS)
Jimmy Garoppolo, Tom Brady's former backup at New England, made his first start for his new team last week and led the 49ers to a 15-14 win at Chicago. He certainly is a major upgrade for San Francisco and will be by far the best QB in this game. Tom Savage, who replaced sensational rookie Deshaun Watson (season ending injury), is adequate but certainly is no world-beater. San Francisco opened the season with nine straight losses but is 2-1 SU and ATS in its last three games. Houston opened -1.5 to -2.5-point favorite but, again, the sharps came in and drove the betting line the other way and but the public got on board with the Texans who are again -2.5.

Tennessee Titans (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) at Arizona Cardinals (5-7 SU, 3-8-1 ATS)
Neither of these teams are reliable "cover" outfits. Tennessee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. The Cardinals cover record speaks for itself. With that said, it must be noted have played to the over by, a 20-10-1 margin in their last 31 games and Arizona has seen its last three games go over the number.

Philadelphia Eagles (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) at Los Angeles Rams (9-3 SU 8-4-0 ATS)
The host Rams are a solid 2-to-2.5-point favorite in this marquee showdown game. My numbers suggested it is a pick'em and that the betting line will be in play. The Eagles had their nine-game winning streak broken last week at Seattle where they lost to the Seahawks, 24-10, as 3.5-point favorites. It was the first time they had not won and covered since the second game of the season when they fell at Kansas City, 27-20. The Rams are the wake-up team in the NFL this and play with the same focus and intensity of the upstart Eagles. Interesting this game is taking more two-way money than any contest in Las Vegas. Philadelphia tight end Zach Ertz (concussion) is questionable for this game. He has 55 receptions for 639 yards and 7 touchdowns this season.

Seattle Seahawks (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) at Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS)
Both these teams continue their drives to the playoffs and this one figures to be a battle royale. Keep in mind the East to West factor is in play here and change in times zones historically have worked against West Coast teams, even if just modestly. Seattle earned its biggest win of the season in its last game, knocking off the Philadelphia Eagles at home 24-10 for their biggest win of the season and are obviously at the top of its game. This is not to suggest Jacksonville is not. The Jaguars come to play and are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATs in their last six starts. This is a team that is not spectacular in anything it does. It just wins. Seattle is 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine road games. Jacksonville has gone under the total in five of its last six games.

Baltimore Ravens (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-2 SU, 6-6-0 ATS)
The Ravens defense has shutout three opponents this season and has put them back into the playoff picture. It is of note Baltimore's Super Bowl odds have been bet down from 75-1 to 60-1. Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 26-9 in the fourth week of the season and is rightfully the favorite again today. However bettors need to know the Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and have covered in their last two games at Heinz Field. The last seven games between these rivals has gone under the total by a 5-2 margin. The Steelers have seen the under prevail by an 8-3-1 margin this season.

MONDAY NIGHT

New England Patriots (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) at Miami Dolphins (5-7 SU, 4-6-2 ATS)
New England is 8-0 SU and in its last eight games and 6-0 ATS in its last six. When these teams met the first time this season, in Foxborough, the Patriots prevailed 25-17 as 16.5-point favorites. It is of note Miami stands 3-1 in its last four home games against New England and are 3-1-1 ATS in its last five meetings with the Patriots. Currently, the Dolphins are ae 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games.


THE BETTING MENU FOR SUNDAY

100-Unit NFL Game Of Month Crushes The Number Sunday
The Stage Is Set For A Solid Knockout 100-Unit NFL Win By One Of The Most Unlikely Teams A Real Shocking Winner

NFL teams-the good ones and the bad ones-have their ups and downs every season but for all 32 teams there comes a time when everything is in place to score a major win. The betting line is right, the opponent has a world of problems, the team is in the right at the right time. We have one team in that situation Sunday and I am releasing it as the winner of my 100-unit NFL Game of the Month.
Win this one wit me for just $50, charged to your major credit card.


Seahawks (8-4) At Jaguars (8-4) Highlight Of 3-0 Sunday
It's A Win Or Get Out Weekend In The NFL And Both These Teams Plus 4 Others Need To Get It Done Or Put Their Playoff Hopes In Serous Jeopardy

My Best Bets Football Club is going for the money today with three teams that need to win to keep their playoff hopes alive and I am confident I will win all three, with the highlight of the day the Seattle at Jacksonville contest. Win all three games with me for just $15.