Football Forecast - Wild Cards and College Champonship
Volume 19, Edition 18… January 6-8, 2018
Make All The Money You Want This Weekend
Win 100-Unit Wild Card Game On 4-0 NFL Weekend
Win 150-Unit Side/Total Parlay On College Championship Game Between #4 Alabama (12-1) And #3 Georgia (13-1)
Win Two 50-Unit College Basketball Blowouts
All Yours For Just $75
By Kelso Sturgeon
There is nothing automatic or easy about handicapping college football's national championship game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) and the Georgia Bulldogs (13-1), the four NFL wildcard games made dead-even affairs by the betting lines, or college basketball where all at once the numbers have been tightened to the point they are giving all bettors a real headache.
But, still, we accept the daily challenge in this battle of wits with bookmakers and I am pleased to report I continue to beat their numbers. On the final week of the NFL season I won my 200-unit NFL Game of the Year with the San Francisco 49ers, took down the money in four of Saturday's bowl games, including wins with Georgia and Alabama, and the past two days my Best Bets Basketball Club went 5-1.
I am confident the winning will continue this weekend and I have put together a package that can make a fortune for all bettors, large or small and you can get it and win it for the somewhat insane price of just $75, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP NOW
Here is exactly what is in the special package...
- On Saturday or Sunday, 100-unit NFL play, plus the other three wildcard games.
- On Monday, a 150-side-total parlay on the college championship game between Alabama and Georgia
- On Saturday and Sunday, two bonus 50-unit college basketball blowout plays.
The Big Money Weekend Football Schedule
NFL Wildcard Games
Saturday, January 6
Tennessee Titans (9-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)
Atlanta Falcons (10-6) at Los Angeles Rams (11-5)
Sunday, January 7
Buffalo Bills (9-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6)
Carolina Panthers (11-5) at New Orleans Saints (11-5)
Monday, January 8
College Football National Championship Game Played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) vs Georgia Bulldogs (13-1)
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Handicapping Hints For The NFL Wildcard Games & College Championship
Tennessee Titans (9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-6 SU, 10-6-0 ATS)-On the issue of current form, Kansas City closed out the regular season 4-0 SU and ATS, while Tennessee 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS. The Chiefs went 6-2 SU and ATS at home, the Titans 3-5 SU and ATS on the road. These teams did not meet during the regular season and it must be noted the road team in this series has gone 7-1 and Tennessee is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City opened as a 7-point favorite with a total of 44.5 and has been bet out to -9, with the over- under staying the same. In totals this season, the Chiefs went 8-8-0 while the Titans went 8-7-1. For Tennessee RB DeMarco Murray (184 rushing yards, 266 passing yards and seven touchdowns) is out with a MCL injury. It is of note Las Vegas bookmakers consider the Titans the worst team in the playoffs and have been forced into offering the big number to get action on Tennessee.
History: Kansas City is 1-10 SU and ATS in the playoffs since 1994. Tennessee has not won a playoff game since 2004 and is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in its last three. Kickoff at 4:35 Eastern...ESPN.
Atlanta Falcons (10-6 SU, 7-9-0 ATS) at Los Angeles Rams (11-5 SU 9-7-0 ATS)-On the issue of current form the Rams closed out the season 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS but tanked in its last game, resting all its key skill players. Atlanta went 6-2 in its last eight and 5-3 ATS in those contests. The two losses came at Minnesota (13-3), 14-9, and at New Orleans (11-5), 24-21-both divisional champions. The Rams are 4-4 SU and ATS at home while Atlanta is 5-3 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. These teams did not meet in the regular season but it is of note the favorite has cashed in 13 of the last 16 meetings and the Falcons are 5-2 SU in the last seven. The Rams opened as a 5.5-point favorite, with a total of 50, but the money has moved a bit to Los Angeles, which is now -6.5 with a total of 48. Los Angeles played 10-5-1 to the over this season while the Falcons went 5-11-1.
History: Atlanta has not won a road playoff game since 2003 and stand 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four away post-season games. The Rams went 4-12 last season and are but the second team in NFL history to lead the league in scoring after being 32nd and last the previous season. Kickoff at 8:15 Eastern...NBC.
Buffalo Bills (9-7-0 SU, 8-5-2 ATS) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6-0 SU, 9-7-0 ATS)-On the issue of current form, Jacksonville went 8-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in its last eight games but lost its last two on the road-44-33 at San Francisco and 15-10 at Tennessee. Buffalo went 4-2 SU and ATS in its last six and while winning last week at Miami gained entry into the playoffs by virtue of Baltimore getting upset by Cincinnati. These teams did not meet during the regular season and it is of note the Bills snapped a 17-year playoff drought, having not been to the post-season since 1999. Jacksonville is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS this season while the Bills are 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS on the road. Jacksonville opened a 7-point favorite, with a total of 40, but has been bet out to -9, with the total dropping to 39. The line move comes from doubters who do not believe Buffalo superstar RB LeSean McCoy (ankle) will play. If they are right it would be a loss beyond measure since he makes the offense go. In 15 games this season he has rushed for 1,138 yards, caught 59 passes for 448.0 yards and scored eight touchdowns. In the over/under world, Jacksonville went 8-8-0 this season while the Bills went 7-8-1.
History: Buffalo has had but two winning seasons in the last 10. Jacksonville has five playoff wins.
Carolina Panthers (11-5 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) at New Orleans Saints (11-5-0 SU, 9-7-0 ATS)-Both teams are at the top of their form and have met twice this season, with New Orleans winning both games-first in Charlotte, 34-13, as a 5.5-point favorite as a -6 choice and then at home, 31-21. The Panthers are in the playoffs for the fourth time in the last five seasons but have to be haunted by the fact they have lost twice this season to the Saints and stand 1-4 ATS in their last five games in New Orleans and are 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings with the Saints. Carolina went 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games. The Saints went 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS in their last nine.New Orleans is 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS at home while Carolina is 5-3 SU and ATS away from Charlotte. New Orleans opened as a 6-point favorite, with a total of 48. The number is now the Saints -6.5 or -7 with a total of 47.5 or 48. Bookmakers say they are getting solid two-way action on this game. History: These teams have never met in the playoffs and Carolina has gone 4-3 in its seven road post-season games. New Orleans is in the playoffs for the 11th time-its first since 2013. Th Saints are 5-0 in their last five home playoff games.
National Championship Game Played At Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1 SU, 6-7-0 ATS) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (13-1 SU, 10-4-0 ATS)
Alabama is a 3.5-point favorite, with a total of 44
Kickoff 9:00 Eastern...ESPN
The only thing we know for certain about this game is that a team from the Southeastern Conference will win college football's national championship for the ninth time in the past 12 years. After that everything is up in the air and one can make a case for either one of these football powers to win straight up. The 3rd-seeded Bulldogs are looking to win their first national title since the Herschel Walker-led squad won the 1980 crown, while the 4th-seeded Crimson Tide are striving for their fifth during coach Nick Saban's 11-season tenure. Alabama easily dispatched top-seeded Clemson 24-6 in the semifinals while Georgia outlasted second-seeded Oklahoma 54-48 in double overtime. Alabama leads the nation in rushing defense at 91.8 yards per game and will receive a big test from the Georgia senior duo of Nick Chubb (1,320 yards) and Sony Michel (1,129). The Crimson Tide limited Clemson to 64 yards on 33 attempts while the Bulldogs rolled up 317 and five rushing scores against Oklahoma. Georgia freshman quarterback Jake Fromm could be the wild-card factor if he starts the game off strong and makes Alabama respect the passing game.
As one who scouted and recruited the SEC for Kentucky years ago, I understand the culture and want to assure you that, while Alabama gets most of the press, both these teams are loaded up and down their depth charts with some of the best blue-chip players in the game. Alabama, which lost only at Auburn, 26-14, in the last game of the season is currently a grind-it-out team that beats you up physically, wears you out and then runs over you. Georgia, which also lost only at Auburn, 40-17, during the regular season came back and buried those same Tigers in the SEC championship game, 28-7, on the same field this game will be played. Georgia is a team that is relentless, never gives up and simply figures out ways to win.
History: This is the third straight year Alabama has been in the championship game. Two seasons ago it beat Clemson, 45-40, to win the title and last year lost to Clemson, 35-31. It is of note Alabama has been favored in every single game since its national championship game against Texas in 2010-except one. The last time the Crimson Tide were posted as an underdog was their 2015 game against Georgia in Athens and won that contest in a 38-10 blowout.
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Best Bets Club 8-1 Last Three Days
12/4...15 Units...Missouri State (-5.5) 62, Northern Iowa 55 (Won)
12/4...10 Units...Montana (-14.5) 109, North Dakota 79 (Won)
12/4...10 Units...UC-Davis (-5) 64, UC-Irvine 53 (Won)
12/3...15 Units...Boise State (-9) 90, New Mexico 62 (Won)
12/3...10 Units...Rhode Island (-11.5) 74, La Salle 62 (Won)
12/3...10 Units...Central Florida (-7.5) 65, Memphis 56 (won)
12/2...15 Units...Texas Tech (+7) 85, Kansas 73 (Won)
12/2...10 Units...Mississippi State (+2) 78, Arkansas 75 (Won)
12/2...10 Units...Tennessee (-5.5) 84, Auburn 94 (Lost)
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