October 19-21, 2019
By Kelso Sturgeon
Good news! Great news! And, even better news. I won my 200-unit College Football Game of the Year last Saturday as the Kent State Golden Flashes crushed the Akron Zips, 26-3, took down the money on Sunday with my second straight winning 50-unit NFL Game of the Week with the Minnesota Vikings, 38-20, victory over the Philadelphia Eagles and am on a 12-3 run in the MLB playoffs. And, it only gets better.
Another 200-Unit College Football Winner Today - This One A Dominating Blowout
There are a few games on today's college football schedule that could well be blowouts. They all meet the requirements for a winning 200-unit wager - most of all because the scenario in these contests fit the power-plus vs. weakness profile. In other words, the power-plus team completely outclasses its opponent and can name the score.I was originally going to release another winning College Triple Crown but had to alter that plan when I discovered an opportunity to go for another 200-unit winner - this one a blowout. As I have always said, whenever and wherever the money shows, I'm going for it.
Today, one stands out, with a 99.9 % chance to win straight up I was confident you could send it in on Kent State's 200-unit win last week and feel even better out this one. This is another bet-all-you-want game and you can win it for $50, charged to your major credit card or to Pay Pal. Or join my Octoberama Program for $75 and get two more weeks of top-rated plays, and today's Blowout is FREE! Click Here
The World Of College Football Handicapping - The backdoor cover…
There are few things more distressing in betting college football than to be laying 14 and coasting along with a 28-0 lead at the beginning of the fourth quarter, watch as the coach of the team you bet call off the dogs, sit its starters and flood the field with all substitutes. The dreaded backdoor cover is all at once in play, putting the cover in doubt. Sometimes it happens - the backdoor cover - and sometimes it does not. The strongest candidates to victimize betters are what is known as "sandwich games" involving heavy favorites meeting weak teams, with a major challenge coming in next week's games. We have five such games on the Saturday schedule and one must bet the favorites with some caution
- #11 Auburn (5-1) is a 19.5 favorite at Arkansas (2-4) and plays at #2 LSU (6-0) next week.
- California (4-2) is an 11-point home favorite over Oregon State (2-4) and plays at #9 Utah (5-1) next
- #10 Georgia (5-1) is a 25.5-point home favorite over Kentucky (3-3) and meets #9 Florida in Jacksonville next week.
- #2 LSU (6-0) is a 17.5 favorite at Mississippi State (3-3) and hosts #11 Auburn next week.
- #6 Wisconsin (6-0) is a 31-point favorite at Illinois (2-4) and is at #4 Ohio State next week.
This is not to say these heavy favorites will win but fall victim to the backdoor cover, but all are certainly candidates to do just that. Your call.
The bad team reality: I run from all games in which a bad team (one short on talent) is the favorite, because my more than four decades of handicapping, I know they seldom get the job done. We have such a game today, where 0-6 Rice is a 4.5-point favorite at Texas-San Antonio (2-4). It is of note the Owls (2-10 last season) were 1-point home favorites over UTSA and lost 20-3. Rice is 7-37 the past three-plus seasons and is but 5-19 on the road in that time frame. Don't say you weren't warned.
Five Insightful college trends…
Georgia Tech, an 18.5 underdog at Miami this week, is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games, dating back to last season.
Arizona State, a 14-point underdog at Utah, is 5-1 ATS as a road dog in its last six games and has gone 2-0 as the underdog on its last two games in Salt Lake City.
Navy, a 15-point home favorite over South Florida, is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games.
Michigan, a 9-point underdog at Penn State, is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games. Also, of note is fact the home team has won in routs the past three years.
Appalachian State, a 15-point home favorite over UL-Monroe, is 16-4-1 ATS in its last 21 games but it is of note UL-Monroe has covered in the last two meetings.
Chiefs QB Mahomes Out For 5-6 Weeks But Doctors Confident He Will Be Back This Season
This is the 100th year of NFL football and it seems to be setting one record it does not want - the wholesale list of injuries that have sidelines eight starters and a backup. It all started when the Indianapolis Colts field general announced his retirement during the pre-season, saying he could no longer cope with the pain of his many injuries. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the league's reigning MVP, joined the injury list last night when he suffered a severe knee injury in the team's 30-6 win at Denver. After receiving an MRI, doctors said the damage was not as bad as it appeared and that the super-star signal-caller will miss 5-6 weeks.
Other sidelined so far this season includes:
New Orleans' Drew Brees (thumb).
Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger (elbow).
Carolina's Cam Newton (foot).
Jackson's Nick Foles (collarbone).
Buffalo's Josh Allen (concussion).
Chicago's Mitchell Trubisky (shoulder).
New York Jets Sam Darnold (mononucleosis) whose backup, Trevor Siemian was lost for the season with a gruesome ankle injury.
Saturday's College Best Bet
Buffalo Bulls (2-4) -17.5 by 27-28 over AKRON ZIPS (0-6) - The bet on Buffalo in this Mid-American Conference game is more of a bet against a winless Akron team that has fallen off the edge of the world, Buffalo is no world-beater, although it does own a 38-22 win over a talented Temple team, but has the talent to dominate from start to finish. Akron lost most of its skill players from last year, on offense and defense, and it shows. The Zips average 10.0 points at home while giving up 38. That will not get it done. Akron is 0-6-0 ATS this season.
Sunday's NFL Best Bet
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) -4 by 12-13 over CINCINNATI BENGALS (0-6) - Cincinnati is one of those NFL teams run by a front office that each time it comes to a fork in the road takes the wrong one. They fired long-time coach Marvin Lewis because of his inability to get the playoffs and hired young Zac Taylor who had been the quarterback's coach with the Los Angeles Rams. Lewis could not get to the playoffs and win. Taylor got to the regular season, where he cannot win. The Bengals are an embarrassing 0-6 with an offense averaging 307.7 yards and 16.2 yards per game, and with a defense giving up 426.3 yards and 26.5 points. Just do the math.
Saturday's Official Betting Menu