Today’s Hot Plays
Professional Handicapper Kelso Sturgeon
Kelso Sturgeon has been a professional handicapper for 40 years and has a deep understanding of all facets of the game, be it football, basketball, baseball or horse racing. He’s worked as a football scout in the SEC and studied under Hall of Fame coaches like Alabama’s Bear Bryant, winner of five national titles and Hank Stram of the Kansas City Chiefs, who won the 1970 Super Bowl. He’s been a Regional Sports Editor for the Associated Press, worked as a successful jockey agent and authored several books teaching people how to be a handicapper, including the bestseller, THE COMPLETE GUIDE TO SPORTS BETTING. Kelso also understands that to be a successful handicapper means knowing the business of gambling, and to that end he is personal friends with most of the big linesmakers in Las Vegas and gets the daily scoop on what is happening on the other side of the counter. There is no one better qualifed to be your personal handicapper than Kelso Sturgeon.
Coaches a Bigger Key Than Ever
As I was listening to New York Giants head coach Ben McAdoo throw his quarterback and offense under the bus...I decided I should devote this week's classwork to emphasizing the importance of handicapping head coaches in the NFL, college football, and really ALL betting sports.
My clients and I won with the Lions plus the points this past Monday. It's not that I thought the Giants had no chance to cover. It was just a 15-unit play. But, I was confident that the Giants weren't going to play well enough to justify that price. Odell Beckham Jr. was either going to miss the game, or play hobbled. This team doesn't have much of an offense if he's not a dangerous threat as a PLAYMAKER and GAMEBREAKER. They would have to play perfectly to win straight up, and would need some lucky breaks to cover.
How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 3
A wild start to the NFL week with that 41-39 thriller featuring the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers Thursday night. Let's see how sharps have been betting the rest of the card. As always, games are presented in Nevada Rotation order.
Baltimore vs. Jacksonville (in London): Remember that this is a neutral site game. Baltimore isn't laying -3.5 or -4 "on the road." All stores are showing those two numbers. I'd say that dog lovers are happy to take the plus 4. The public may like the Ravens as we get closer to kickoff because of their 2-0 start, and because Jacksonville looked so bad vs. Tennessee last week. The four isn't really a tug-of-war number most weeks. It might work out that way here if squares decide they want the favorite in Sunday morning football.
Cleveland at Indianapolis: Hard to imagine the Browns as a road favorite given their form of the past few seasons. They opened at -2.5 here, and were bet down to -1.5. Sharps can't imagine that either! They didn't expect the public to push this favorite toward the key number of three. Those who liked the home dog took what they could get. At that price, Indy +7.5 will be popular in two-team teasers because the six-point move crosses both the 3 and the 7. Though, sharps are aware that lower rung quarterbacks like Jacoby Brissett can be dicey in those spots because of implosion potential.
Pittsburgh at Chicago: The opener of Pittsburgh -8 is down to -7.5. Sharps who bet Chicago as a home dog vs. Atlanta back in Week 1 were rewarded...as were sharps who faded Pittsburgh by betting Cleveland as a home dog. It was a lot of the same guys! That contingency will be betting the Bears for value. Though, if the line stays at -7.5, then Pittsburgh -1.5 will be popular in sharp teasers. It will be interesting to see if the public lays the big chalk here, or passes at the high price.
Patriots sign QB Heinicke to practice squad
The New England Patriots signed quarterback Taylor Heinicke to the practice squad Saturday and released wide receiver Demarcus Ayers from the practice squad.
McGowan helps Central Florida roll over Maryland
Taj McGowan ran for two first-half touchdowns and UCF pulled away for a 38-10 win at Maryland Saturday afternoon in what had been forecast as a high-scoring affair.