Professional Handicapper Kelso Sturgeon


2/2/2013 - Advanced Handicapping1/31/2013 - Advanced Handicapping1/25/2013 - Advanced Handicapping1/12/2013 - Advanced Handicapping1/11/2013 - Advanced Handicapping1/5/2013 - Advanced Handicapping12/28/2012 - Advanced Handicapping12/7/2012 - Advanced Handicapping11/30/2012 - Advanced Handicapping11/16/2012 - Advanced Handicapping11/9/2012 - Advanced Handicapping11/3/2012 - Advanced Handicapping11/1/2012 - Advanced Handicapping10/25/2012 - Advanced Handicapping10/19/2012 - Advanced Handicapping10/13/2012 - Advanced Handicapping10/12/2012 - Advanced Handicapping10/5/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/29/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/28/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/22/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/21/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/13/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/7/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/7/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/5/2012 - Advanced Handicapping9/1/2012 - Advanced Handicapping8/29/2012 - Advanced Handicapping4/20/2012 - Advanced Handicapping4/17/2012 - Advanced Handicapping3/30/2012 - 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Handicapping 1012/18/2011 - Handicapping 1012/14/2011 - Handicapping 1012/13/2011 - Handicapping 1012/12/2011 - Handicapping 1012/6/2011 - Handicapping 1012/5/2011 - Handicapping 1012/4/2011 - Handicapping 1011/30/2011 - Handicapping 1011/29/2011 - Handicapping 1011/28/2011 - Handicapping 1011/23/2011 - Handicapping 1011/21/2011 - Handicapping 1011/20/2011 - Handicapping 1011/15/2011 - Handicapping 1011/14/2011 - Handicapping 1011/8/2011 - Handicapping 1011/7/2011 - Handicapping 1011/6/2011 - Handicapping 1011/2/2011 - Handicapping 101 - NFL12/31/2010 - Handicapping 10112/30/2010 - Handicapping 10112/26/2010 - Handicapping 101 - NFL12/24/2010 - Handicapping 10112/23/2010 - Handicapping 10112/18/2010 - Handicapping 101 - NFL12/17/2010 - Handicapping 10112/16/2010 - Handicapping 10112/13/2010 - Handicapping 101 - Bowls12/12/2010 - Handicapping 101 - NFL12/10/2010 - Handicapping 10112/9/2010 - Handicapping 101 - NBA12/5/2010 - Handicapping 101 - NFL12/3/2010 - Handicapping 10112/2/2010 - Handicapping 10111/28/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10111/26/2010 - Handicapping 10111/24/2010 - Handicapping 10111/21/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10111/19/2010 - Handicapping 10111/18/2010 - Handicapping 10111/14/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10111/12/2010 - Handicapping 10111/11/2010 - Handicapping 10111/7/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10111/5/2010 - Handicapping 10111/4/2010 - Handicapping 10110/30/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10110/29/2010 - Handicapping 10110/28/2010 - Handicapping 10110/22/2010 - Handicapping 10110/21/2010 - Handicapping 10110/16/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10110/15/2010 - Handicapping 10110/14/2010 - Handicapping 10110/8/2010 - NFL Handicapping 10110/7/2010 - Handicapping 10110/6/2010 - Handicapping 10110/1/2010 - Handicapping 1019/30/2010 - Handicapping 1019/22/2010 - Handicapping 101

 503 PACERS
 504 HEAT
5/22/2013 8:30 PM(et)
+8
-8
183 
+7½
-7½
182½ 
+8
-8
182½ 
+8
-8
182½ 
 
 
 951 REDS
 952 METS
5/22/2013 1:10 PM(et)
+120
-120
6½p 
 
 
 
 
 
 953 DODGERS
 954 BREWERS
5/22/2013 1:10 PM(et)
-120
+120
8½o 
 
 
 
 
 
 955 DIAMONDBACKS
 956 ROCKIES
5/22/2013 3:10 PM(et)
+120
-120
9½p 
 
 
 
 
 
 957 NATIONALS
 958 GIANTS
5/22/2013 3:45 PM(et)
+140
-140
7o 
 
 
 
 
 
 959 CUBS
 960 PIRATES
5/22/2013 7:05 PM(et)
+120
-120
7o 
 
 
 
 
 
 961 PHILLIES
 962 MARLINS
5/22/2013 7:10 PM(et)
-170
+170
6½p 
 
 
 
 
 
 963 CARDINALS
 964 PADRES
5/22/2013 10:10 PM(et)
-120
+120
7½o 
 
 
 
 
 
 965 ATHLETICS
 966 RANGERS
5/22/2013 2:05 PM(et)
off
 
 
 
 
 
 
 967 RAYS
 968 BLUEJAYS
5/22/2013 4:37 PM(et)
+120
-120
9½p 
 
 
 
 
 
 969 YANKEES
 970 ORIOLES
5/22/2013 7:05 PM(et)
-120
+120
8½o 
 
 
 
 
 
 971 TIGERS
 972 INDIANS
5/22/2013 7:05 PM(et)
-160
+160
8p 
 
 
 
 
 
 973 MARINERS
 974 ANGELS
5/22/2013 7:05 PM(et)
+180
-180
8p 
 
 
 
 
 
 975 ROYALS
 976 ASTROS
5/22/2013 8:10 PM(et)
-200
+200
8½p 
 
 
 
 
 
 977 REDSOX
 978 WHITESOX
5/22/2013 8:10 PM(et)
+110
-110
7o 
 
 
 
 
 
 979 TWINS
 980 BRAVES
5/22/2013 12:10 PM(et)
+180
-180
8p 
 
 
 
 
 
 451 RAVENS
 452 BRONCOS
9/5/2013 8:30 PM(et)
+7
-7
 
+9
-9
49½ 
 
 
 
 
 453 PATRIOTS
 454 BILLS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
-5½
+5½
 
-7½
+7½
52½ 
 
 
 
 
 455 TITANS
 456 STEELERS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
+6
-6
 
+7
-7
43½ 
 
 
 
 
 457 FALCONS
 458 SAINTS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
+1½
-1½
 
+1½
-1½
54 
 
 
 
 
 459 BUCCANEERS
 460 JETS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
+1½
-1½
 
-1
+1
41 
 
 
 
 
 461 CHIEFS
 462 JAGUARS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
-
pick
 
-1½
+1½
39½ 
 
 
 
 
 463 BENGALS
 464 BEARS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
+3½
-3½
 
+3½
-3½
45 
 
 
 
 
 465 DOLPHINS
 466 BROWNS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
-2
+2
 
-
pick
39½ 
 
 
 
 
 467 SEAHAWKS
 468 PANTHERS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
-4
+4
 
-3½
+3½
45 
 
 
 
 
 469 VIKINGS
 470 LIONS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
+2½
-2½
 
+3
-3
47 
 
 
 
 
 471 RAIDERS
 472 COLTS
9/8/2013 1:00 PM(et)
+8
-8
 
+7½
-7½
48½ 
 
 
 
 
 473 CARDINALS
 474 RAMS
9/8/2013 4:25 PM(et)
+5½
-5½
 
+5½
-5½
40 
 
 
 
 
 475 PACKERS
 476 49ERS
9/8/2013 4:25 PM(et)
+4
-4
 
+5
-5
50 
 
 
 
 
 477 GIANTS
 478 COWBOYS
9/8/2013 8:30 PM(et)
+2½
-2½
 
+3
-3
49 
 
 
 
 
 479 EAGLES
 480 REDSKINS
9/9/2013 7:10 PM(et)
+5½
-5½
 
+5
-5
50½ 
 
 
 
 
 481 TEXANS
 482 CHARGERS
9/9/2013 10:20 PM(et)
-2½
+2½
 
-3
+3
46 
 
 
 
 

No College Football I-A games scheduled.

No College Basketball games scheduled.

OpeningCurrent Lines around Las Vegas

Kelso Sturgeon has been a professional handicapper for 40 years and has a deep understanding of all facets of the game, be it football, basketball, baseball or horse racing. He's worked as a football scout in the SEC and studied under Hall of Fame coaches like Alabama's Bear Bryant, winner of five national titles and Hank Stram of the Kansas City Chiefs, who won the 1970 Super Bowl. He's been a Regional Sports Editor for the Associated Press, worked as a successful jockey agent and authored several books teaching people how to be a handicapper, including the bestseller, THE COMPLETE GUIDE TO SPORTS BETTING. Kelso also understands that to be a successful handicapper means knowing the business of gambling, and to that end he is personal friends with most of the big linesmakers in Las Vegas and gets the daily scoop on what is happening on the other side of the counter. There is no one better qualifed to be your personal handicapper than Kelso Sturgeon.

Contact us or call 1-800-755-2255 to get Kelso Sturgeon as your personal handicapper. Enter here to get today's free pick!

Oft Forgotten Offensive Linemen 2nd Most Important Part Of Building Football Team

Art & Science Of Winning - Part 4 Of 10-Part Series

By Kelso Sturgeon

Building a winning college football or National Football League team is a complicated process that is both art and science, with a bit of wizardry thrown in and it does not hurt to also be blessed with a bit of good luck. Winning is not an accident; it is the end result of understanding what it takes to compete at the highest level of the game and to then be able to do it.

In the NFL, one can almost be certain New England will field an outstanding team every year and in the colleges it seems to always be home-run time at places such as Alabama, LSU, Georgia and Oregon. The bottom line is all teams try to build power-house winners but the reality is that few succeed.

In Part IV of this 10-part series to help readers build a winning betting platform for the coming season, we are going to discuss the second most important element that makes for a winning team - the oft forgotten real men who make up a squad's offensive linemen. Few teams will consistently win without a top-flight offensive line and none without one will ever win a championship.

There is some debate over which NFL team fielded the best offensive line ever but the voting seems to lean towards the Dallas Cowboys of 1992-96. The Cowboys won three of four Super Bowl championships in that time frame operating behind an offensive line made up of Mark Stepnowski, Nate Newton, Mark Tuinei, Erik Williams and Larry Allen who has a unit played in 30 Pro Bowls.

Needless to say, their record speaks volumes.

In the past season's BCS championship game between Alabama (13-1) and Notre Dame (11-1) the Crimson Tide's offensive line absolutely destroyed one of the best defenses in the country and rolled to a one-sided 42-14 win. Notre Dame came into the game giving up less than 100 rushing yards per game and an average of just 10.33 points per game.

It was a complete mismatch as Alabama went up 28-0 at the half, moved that number to 35-0 in the third period and in the process had 265 yards rushing and 264 passing. When the game was over, it was noted the offensive line had been so powerful and protective Alabama quarterback A.J. McCarron had one single grass stain on the back of his jersey, one the right shoulder.

As we have noted in previous parts of this series (all archived on this website) Alabama came into that game with the first two requirements to win - more blue-chip talent and a much better quarterback than Notre Dame had. Now throw in one of the best offensive lines in football and the result was quite predictable.

For the record I released Alabama as a 100-unit play in that game, with complete confidence the Crimson Tide had everything it took to bury once-beaten Notre Dame and it all began with the blue-chip talent factor.

"Oft Forgotten" Is An Understatement

Whether Alabama's offensive line of last season was the best in history is a matter for discussion in the world of the hot stove, but it certain was a major factor as Alabama won its second straight and third national championship in the past four seasons. It is of note two members of that line were 1st-round NFL draft choices with guard Chance Warmack (6-2, 318) going to the Tennessee Titans as this 10th pick and offensive tackle D.J. Fluker (6-4, 340) going to the San Diego Padres as the 11th 1st-round pick.

Of course, you will never see players of this caliber even in the running for the Heisman Trophy that goes supposedly to the best player in the country. Neither will you see the names of the first two players taken in the draft among the Heisman candidates because no one pays any attention to them.

For the record the first player taken in the draft was offensive tackle Erik Fisher (6-7, 306) of Central Michigan, going to the Kansas City Chiefs, and the second pick was, yes, another offensive tackle - Luke Joeckel (6-6, 306) of Texas A&M, picked by the Jacksonville Jaguars.

It also is of note five of the first 10 players and six of the first 11 players taken in the draft were from the world of the "oft-forgotten".

One could write a book on the importance of the offensive line and it is a tremendous mistake for any football bettor to overlook it. While we are just four lessons into getting ready to handicap the 2013 football season, we have already seen the power of (1) superior overall talent, (2) the need for a top-flight quarterback and (3) the need for a top-flight offensive line.

While it is easy for handicappers to determine the quality of talent and the standing of each college quarterback, finding the best offensive lines is a bit more difficult and will require some digging. I suggest your best source is to visit each school's football website and grade the 1-2-3 offensive line spots on the depth chart.

Here is what I am looking for in an offensive line - one that can win for me:

  1. I want an experienced offensive line from tackle to tackle and it will usually be made up of juniors and seniors.

  2. I especially want a top-flight center and an outstanding blind-side tackle.

  3. I want a big offensive line that hopefully averages better than 295 pounds from tackle to tackle.

  4. I want an aggressive offensive line that is quick and fast firing off.

  5. I want an offensive line that has a record of protecting its quarterback. (see the NCAA statistical categories of number of sacks allowed, average number of plays for losses, and its team's offensive rushing average per carry.

Obviously determining the above will require some work but it will be worth it. Just keep in mind this 10-part series is just getting started and we already know talent, play at the quarterback position and the effectiveness of the offense line is already as much as we need to win. It is now on to the cover, whether it is -7 or -35.

In the next part, due in two days, I will discuss the element of game-breaking players.

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Indiana's Phillips sidelined with torn meniscus

Indianapolis, IN (Sports Network) - Indiana Fever guard Erin Phillips is expected to miss the first 4-to-6 weeks of the WNBA season due to a lateral meniscus tear in her right knee.

More College Basketball News

Spurs hold off Grizzlies in OT

San Antonio, TX (Sports Network) - Despite uncharacteristically losing their way for a critical time, the San Antonio Spurs regained their championship form when it mattered most to put the Memphis Grizzlies in an unwanted position in the franchise's first-ever Western Conference finals trip.

More NBA News

Kelso's Advanced Sports Betting: Previewing Indiana/Miami

As promised, I'm back with a look at the Eastern Conference Championship round in the NBA Playoffs from an "Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping" perspective. This is a very challenging series to handicap in my view for a variety of reasons. Most importantly, the key players don't really fit into the classic categories.

PLAYMAKERS AND GAMEBREAKERS
This is always where we start. It's the deciding characteristic in almost every major sporting event you come across. When the market has a misread about the impact players, you're going to make big money as a sports bettor. The problems here are:

  • Miami has one superstar gamebreaker in LeBron James...easily the greatest player of the current generation and arguably the single biggest basketball force to ever play the game. He's an incredible scorer, but could also make a strong case as Defensive Player of the Year as well. He's Michael Jordan if Michael Jordan lifted more weights growing up. Miami wins the "gamebreaker" discussion quickly vs. anybody because they're the only team with LeBron James.

  • Miami has surrounded James with role players who know how to play to their roles (even Dwyane Wade, who would be a gamebreaker on another team, is largely a glorified role player with the Heat). A three-point specialist isn't normally thought of as a "gamebreaker." But, he is if the series comes down to whether or not Ray Allen can make open looks. Chris Bosh isn't a gamebreaker, until you decide to leave him alone because he's the least scary option.

  • Indiana's gamebreakers are on the DEFENSE. You've probably seen that replay of a blocked Carmelo Anthony dunk a few hundred times. HUGE PLAY. And, it came on defense. If you only look at "offensive" gamebreakers, then Miami wins in a rout. When you give the Pacers credit for their "defensive" gamebreakers, it becomes a series.

Miami is the better team overall, and deserves the nod in that light. Handicapping each game will come down to determining whether or not Indiana's defense can slow down Miami's offense enough to be competitive.

THE MOTIVATION FACTOR
Miami has tasted a championship, and wants to taste another. Indiana can play free and easy with nothing to lose, and has revenge after losing to the Heat in last year's playoffs. Typically, this category cancels out in the playoffs because everybody's motivated. I'll say this. If there's a chance one team is going to be complacent, it's Miami because they've shown a tendency for overconfidence in the past. If there's one team that has a chance to lift its motivation up to "11" on a scale to 10...it's revenge-minded Indiana. Slight edge to the dog in my view in this category.

BASKETBALL FUNDAMENTALS
Once again, we're talking about the awesome Miami offense against the awesome Indiana defense. Indiana has one of the most fundamentally sound defenses I've ever seen...and they play that way with great athletes. Let's run through the same categories we used in our Western preview.

Defense: Indiana (statistically the best defense in the NBA)
Rebounding: Indiana by a lot
Protecting the Ball: Miami
Three-Point Shooting: Miami
Clutch Scoring: Miami

I have a lot of respect for both teams. To me, the clear difference will likely involve what happens late in close games. Indiana has a tendency to make turnovers under defensive pressure. Indiana doesn't really have a go-to-guy that's a sure thing when they need points against a pressuring defense. This is going to kill them in crunch time. Miami can go to either LeBron or Wade...and has other guys who can make an open look if the ball moves around. Miami is deservedly the Vegas favorite.

That being said, Indiana can certainly cover in games they lose. They will be in the +7 to +9 range as a road underdog depending on how the series plays out (prices will drop if Indiana stays competitive, but will soar if they get blown out). They're certainly capable of winning at least one home game at a price near pick-em, conceivably all home games given their results in Indianapolis this postseason.

I can't talk specifically about Game One, or my game-by-game plans because I have to protect that information for my clients. I can assure you that I've mapped out a fairly aggressive approach for both side and total action in this series. And, I fully intend to hit the ground running in Wednesday Night's first game. You can purchase my selections in basketball and baseball right here at the website with your credit card. My College of Advanced Sports Betting was designed to teach you how to pick winners. Additional help is always a few clicks away.

Back again later this week with what will probably be another basketball report reflecting on action to that point in the Conference Finals. Enjoy the games, and do your level best to get the money!

Previous Articles

Chargers sign OL Starks

San Diego, CA (Sports Network) - The San Diego Chargers signed left tackle Max Starks on Tuesday.

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Southern Conference could expand soon

Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - The Southern Conference may be close to expansion as it tries to replace schools that are leaving for other conferences.

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Descalso, Wainwright leads Cards over Padres

San Diego, CA (Sports Network) - Daniel Descalso went 3-for-3 and broke the contest open with an eighth-inning grand slam as the St. Louis Cardinals took a 10-2 victory over the San Diego Padres in the middle test of a three-game set at Petco Park.

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